DHUnplugged #597: Swan Panic Mode

This is a Black Swan Event - what comes next.

Markets down hard - correction, bear market and train wrecks

Oil, Nickel and commodities screaming higher - let's discuss.

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Warm Up

- Investors in full panic mode

- Russian stock markets closed - many Russian stock halted

- QQQ - NASDAQ 100 - Official 20% Correction

- Limit Up for Corn and Wheat - massive moves over past days

- Talking about Selective isolationism

- Limericks - Back

Market Update

- Nasty downside action - sellers are hitting all rallies - buyers on strike

- Hitting correction territory and bear markets

- Killing Russia economy will inflict pain on US Economy (and world)

- Utilities, Metals, Energy Good. Discretionary, Tech, Everything Else bad

- Small-Caps USA Stocks - You would think....No outside US exposure.

An Announcement of a NEW CTP

****** DHUnplugged on Apple Podcasts Fixed *****

Putin's War

- China Virus = Putin's War?

BLACK SWAN EVENT (S)!

- The hike in rates/inflation was clearly an issues for markets

- The invasion of Ukraine somewhat known.

--- Russia was supposed to win in 3 moves. - The Fool's Mate - fastest checkmate in chess.

- - No one could have predicted that the world - companies and companies - would totally shut down Russia's economy...

---- Devastating impact for the world if not rectified.

------ Black Swans having baby swans too....

Black Swan Definition

- A black swan is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences.

- Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, severe impact, and the widespread insistence they were obvious in hindsight.

NEWS - Moving Markets

- Ukraine is no longer seeking NATO membership??? (Turns out this was OLD news and unconfirmed at that)

--- News was out about Noon - markets climbed significantly

--- But But But

---- 1:18PM news that Russia is banning all exports until 12/31/22 (Need to confirm this too)

---- If true - this could be  really problematic - described as a Suicide-bombing of the West.

-*-* ALL OF THESE MARKET MOVING ITEMS NEED TRIPLE CHECKED - Markets moving on nothing

Sneaky Cease Fire Proposal

- Moscow said on Monday it would provide corridors for residents of Ukraine's two main cities to flee to Russia and Belarus, a move Ukraine called an immoral stunt to exploit the suffering of civilians under Russian bombardment.

- "humanitarian corridors"

What Moving Markets?

- Fear F E A R

-- War

--- Prices

----- Projected Outlook

- Headlines

Nickel

- The London Metal Exchange halted trading in its nickel market after an unprecedented price spike left brokers struggling to pay margin calls against deeply unprofitable short positions.

- Nickel, used in stainless steel and electric-vehicle batteries, surged as much as 111% during the Asian day on Tuesday to trade briefly above $100,000 a ton.

- LME does not think they will open trading back up until at least March 11th.

So Much Sanctions

- Government  and Private Industry ganging up

- - When has this ever happened at this pace?

Tik Tok

- TikTok, the Chinese-owned video app, said on Sunday it would suspend live-streaming and the uploading of videos to its platform in Russia as it reviews the implications of a new media law signed on Friday by President Vladimir Putin.

McDonalds

- Closing all 850 stores in Russia temporarily

- The latest company to pull out

Shell Game

- Shell stopped buying Russian crude on Tuesday and said it would phase out its involvement in all Russian hydrocarbons from oil to natural gas over Ukraine,