Crashing consumer confidence - but new market highs, even in Australia.

Living La Vita Covid? We explore the many reasons to cheer the reopening,  but is this as good as it gets?

More insights into market disconnects and why indices are at all-time highs.




Join clients from over 200 countries and territories to invest globally in Stocks, Options, Futures, Forex, Bonds and Funds from a single integrated account at the lowest cost at IBKR.com
Learn More at http://www.ibkr.com/




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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/
eNVESTOLOGY Info - https://envestology.com/
Friday Pre-Market Run-Down Webinar Registration - https://www.triggercharts.com/webinar-pre-market-rundown-fridays/



Stocks mentioned in this episode:

TDI Podcast: Confidence Break (#727)

Business

Investing

Careers

Management & Marketing

Business News

Shopping

NVDA earnings so good  it sucks the markets dry.

Fed minutes – sounding a bit hawkish.

Bond yields on the rise again.

Copper falls – from all-time highs.






Michael Johnston, CFA is a financial industry veteran with a passion for improving outcomes for retail investors.
Following stints in corporate finance and investment banking, Michael founded ETF Database (ETFdb) and grew it into the largest independent media property covering exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Under Michael’s leadership, the company achieved a commanding position within the ETF industry and played a key role in the “low cost revolution” that saw hundreds of billions of dollars flow from expensive mutual funds to low cost ETFs.
ETFdb is now a part of TSX Group, a publicly-traded financial services company that operates the Toronto Stock Exchange.
Michael co-founded WealthChannel with a mission of helping investors achieve financial independence by radically simplifying retirement planning and investing. Michael is responsible for WealthChannel’s content and education initiatives, including its flagship WealthChannel Academy.
Michael graduated from the University of Notre Dame with a degree in finance, and now resides in Oregon with his wife and son. He is active in his community as a member of the Board of Directors of the Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA) and a volunteer at Hosea Youth Services.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE



Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (QQQ), (SPY)

TDI Podcast: Let’s Retire Rich (#870)

Good noews! CPI - not so hot.

Bitcoin and Gold blasting off

Meme Stocks – fly then die

Thomas Thornton, Hedge Fund Telemetry



Thomas Thornton is a former portfolio manager, senior trader, and technical analyst with Level Global Investors and Galileo Capital. Tom has written a daily market note for a select group of hedge fund managers for years and now has offered it for all investors with Hedge Fund Telemetry. His long term focus on sentiment indicators borders on the obsessive. Our growing team at Hedge Fund Telemetry is comprised of current and former buy and sell side individuals.

Hedge Fund Telemetry was first conceived with inspiration from Tom’s lifelong passion following Formula 1 racing. In the early 90’s, Formula 1 teams started to equip cars with sensors on every imaginable component and data was relayed wirelessly through telemetry to the pits to analyze and then instructions from the pits were relayed back to the driver so he could make changes to find the optimal balance for the car. It has always been the same way for Tom, as a senior trader at his hedge fund, he would get in early, collect data from many sources, analyze that data, and then communicate information out to his firm so his team could properly balance the firm’s portfolio. It’s now our goal to relay that same type of information so that one can also gain that edge.
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Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/



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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE



Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TSLA), (BIDU), (BABA), (XLU), (NVDA)

TDI Podcast: Hedge Fund Strategies (#869)

Market bonce continues and a few favorites breaking out…

USD starts to roll – how long will that last?

Guest, Frank Curzio – Curzio Research - he is naming names.







Frank Curzio can be reached by email at frank@curzioresearch.com
Frank Curzio is an equity analyst with close to three decades of experience covering small- and mid-cap stocks.
Check out his newsletters. (Free trial subscriptions available) 
He has been the editor of several well respected newsletters with major companies as well on of the top performers with TheStreet.com where he significantly outperformed the markets during his tenure. He was also a research analyst for Jim Cramer. Frank is the host of Wall Street Unplugged.

Frank has been a guest on various media outlets including Fox Business News, CNBC's The Kudlow Report and CNBC's The Call. He has also been mentioned numerous times on Jim Cramer'ss Mad Money, is a featured guest on CNN Radio and has been quoted in financial magazines and websites. Before TheStreet.com, Frank was the editor of The FXC Newsletter and received one of the top rankings by Hulbert's Financial Digest for risk-adjusted performance.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE



Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NFLX), (NCLH), (ABNB), (TSLA), (SHOP), (PENN), (DIS), (GOOGL), (AAPL)

TDI Podcast: Frank (@!*^%! Curzio (#868)

April ends with a thud.

Oil prices comes in, Yields hold near recent highs.

Flip Flopping Fed and maybe, perhaps could-be is the talk by Powell.

And our guest - Tea Muratovic , Co Founder of Seasonax - provides 5 stocks with amazing seasonal trends.






Tea Muratovic is an accomplished professional in the financial markets with extensive experience in the global market landscape. As a Co-founder of Seasonax, she developed an award-winning analytical tool that identifies promising trading opportunities across over 25,000 stocks, commodities, indices, and currencies (www.seasonax.com).
Tea’s entrepreneurship and management abilities have earned her multiple investment awards (among them she has received the Female Austrian Investor Award in 2019) and recognition from esteemed industry experts. Her remarkable achievements have also led to her inclusion in the prestigious UK’s Women in Fintech Powerlist on three occasions.

Moreover, Tea has contributed numerous articles to prominent industry publications, including Bloomberg, Institutional Money, Refinitiv Eikon, TalkMarkets, FXEmpire, CMT and various international stock exchanges. Her insights have resonated with professionals across the financial sector.
Find out more about seasonax.com



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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE



Stocks mentioned in this episode: (GNRC), (TTWO), (AAPL), (NFLX), (DXCM), (NOW), (NEE), (SO)

TDI Podcast 867: The Right Seasoning

Kicking off the MegaCap Earnings - some concerning items.

Rate Cut Bets Fizzle

Yields Keep Rising

The VIX – Hovering around 16

And our Guest – Johns Williams from ShadowStats









John Williams, founder and publisher of ShadowStats.com.   He received an A.B. in Economics, cum laude, from Dartmouth College, and an M.B.A. from Dartmouth‘s Amos Tuck School of Business Administration, where he was named an Edward Tuck Scholar.   During his career as a consulting economist in the last 33 years, he has worked with individuals as well with as Fortune 500 companies.

Out of necessity, he became a specialist in government economic reporting.   An early client's large manufacturer of commercial airplanes had developed a model for predicting revenue passenger miles, a primary sales forecasting tool.   Heavily dependent on the GNP (now GDP) out of the Department of Commerce, the model suddenly stopped working, and the client asked Williams to fix it.   The GNP numbers were faulty, he corrected them (official reporting was similarly revised a couple of years later), and the model worked again, at least for a while, until changes in GNP methodology eventually made the underlying data worthless.

That began a lengthy process exploring the history and nature of economic reporting and interviewing key people involved in the system from the early days of government reporting through the present.   For a number of years, he conducted surveys among business economists as to the quality of government statistics.   The vast majority thought it was pretty bad, with survey results leading to 1989 front-page stories in the New York Times and Investors Daily, considerable coverage in the broadcast media and a joint meeting with representatives of all the U.S. government‘s statistical agencies.

Nonetheless, the quality of government reporting has deteriorated sharply in the last couple of decades.   Problems include changes in reporting methodologies that have pushed headline economic and inflation results outside the realm of real-world or common experience.

Over the decades, Williams has given thousands of presentations on the U.S. economic outlook and on approaches to analyzing economic data, to clients "large and small” including talks with members of the business, banking, government, press, academic, brokerage and investment communities, as well as having provided testimony before the U.S. Congress.

Public response to a 2004 series of articles on the quality of government statistics was so strong that he started Shadow Government Statistics, a newsletter first published on ShadowStats.com in 2004.   That weekly commentary is published as part of his economic consulting services.
Find out more about ShadowStats.com 



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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE



Stocks mentioned in this episode: (GLD), (SLV), (MSFT), (META)

TDI Podcast: Confidence Break (#727)

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