Show from 3/29/19

We go global when host Jeremy Schwartz talks to an economist from the European Central Bank. What impact are the Brexit negotiations having on the global economy, and why is the ECB’s President worried about negative interest rates? We also talk about whether the Fed’s hints that it’s done raising interest rates will affect the markets and Italy's impact on the ECB. Tune in!

Guests:
Dr. Diego Rodriguez Palenzuela - Head of the Business Analysis Division, DG-Economics, at the European Central Bank. He’s been with the ECB since 1999 and has a PhD in economics from MIT.

More about Diego on the ECB's website: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/research/authors/profiles/diego-rodriguez-palenzuela.en.html

Jillian Fornito - Executive Director of the Global Interdependence Center, a nonprofit organization established in 1976 and headquartered inside the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. GIC’s mission is to facilitate an international dialogue on economics and Diego came to us through her.

More on the Global Interdependence Center: https://www.interdependence.org/ 
Check out the GIC travel blog Jill writes for: https://www.interdependence.org/blog/

Kevin Flanagan– Head of Fixed Income Strategy at WisdomTree

Behind the Markets Podcast: Dr. Diego Rodriguez Palenzuela, Kevin Flanagan, & Jillian Fornito

Hosts Jeremy Schwartz, Global CIO at WisdomTree and Wharton finance Professor Jeremy Siegel, author of Stocks for the Long Run, discuss the how and why of market performance with leading economists and market strategists to inform you what’s ahead for the economy and your portfolio.

 

Jeremy Schwartz has served as WisdomTree’s Global Chief Investment Officer since November 2021 and leads the investment strategy team in the construction of WisdomTree’s equity indexes, quantitative active strategies and multi-asset model portfolios. Mr. Schwartz joined WisdomTree in May 2005 as a Senior Analyst, adding to his responsibilities in February 2007 as Deputy Director of Research and thereafter, from October 2008 to October 2018, as Director of Research and from November 2018 to November 2021 as Global Head of Research. Prior to joining WisdomTree, he was head research assistant for Professor Jeremy Siegel and in 2022 became his co-author on the 6th edition of the book Stocks for the Long Run. Mr. Schwartz also is co-author of the Financial Analysts Journal paper, What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500? He received his B.S. in Economics from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and hosts the Wharton Business Radio program Behind the Markets on SiriusXM 132. Mr. Schwartz is a member of the CFA Society of Philadelphia.

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Show from 04/12/24

Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel start off this week's episode by discussing a potential attack by Iran on Israel,  inflation panic and moving markets. The Prof continues on to pinpoint which shift in the market led to the inflation panic. He suspects quarter one will come ahead of current expectations. (12:06) Jeremy is joined by Aaron as the two talk about the current AI moment and the opportunities it presents. He discusses cyber security and how AI technology can protect from hackers. Jeremy asks about Team 8 and the model they have created. Aaron talks about the intersection of AI and geopolitics and its effects on Team 8. Aaron comments on Europe's regulations surrounding AI. Aaron also discusses the cloud, the Linux hack and the LoanDepot attack.       

Guest: Aaron Dubin is the VP of Strategy & Business Research at Team8, where he is responsible for business research at the company and foundry level, in addition to targeted business development, and thought leadership. Previously, Aaron led early-stage strategic cyber investing in New York at Goldman Sachs’ Principal Strategic Investments (PSI) team. Prior to that, Aaron was an Investment Associate at Innovation Endeavors, Former Google Chairman Eric Schmidt’s private VC fund, in both Tel Aviv and New York, while also working as a Teaching Assistant at Cornell Tech in the MBA program. 

Learn more about Aaron at: https://team8.vc/team/aaron-dubin/

Follow Aaron on LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/aaron-dubin-0aa42842

Behind the Markets Podcast: Aaron Dubin

Show from 04/05/24

Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel report on another positive week in the market. The Prof notes the payroll report was strong. He was happy to see average hourly work increase. The Prof mentions to watch for CPI, PPI and commodity pricing in the coming weeks. Peter joins in quickly to state he isn’t as concerned as Professor Siegel about the commodity prices. He is worried about the labor market however. (16:26) Peter and Jeremy continue on to discuss Peter's notes on the odds of a global recession. Jeremy asks about the growth of M2 and if it ties into banking dynamics. Peter covers sectors he favors at this time given the state of the economy and his early prediction of a recession. Peter explains what a Macro Quant model is and how his team uses it. The two discuss where rates could potentially go moving forward given the strong restrictions at the time. 

Guest: Peter is currently BCA Research’s Chief Global Strategist and Research Director. Since joining BCA Research in 2010, he has served as Managing Editor of The Bank Credit Analyst as well as helping to develop and launch BCA Research’s Equity Analyzer Service. Peter focuses on analyzing global economic and financial market trends. Prior to BCA Research, Peter worked as a Senior Global Economist with Goldman Sachs. Peter has also spent time in the research department of the International Monetary Fund. Peter has a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from McMaster University, a Master of Science from the London School of Economics, and a PhD in Economics from the University of Toronto.

Learn more about Peter at: https://www.bcaresearch.com/about-us/our-strategists/peter-berezin-gis

Follow Peter on X(Twitter): @PeterBerezinBCA

Behind the Markets Podcast: Peter Berezin

Show from 03/29/24

Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this holiday weekend with positive reflections on the market. Inflation numbers came out as expected. The Prof notes a surprise rise in personal spending and a decline in the housing prices. (7:20) Dan joins Jeremy and Chris Gannatti to discuss where we are in the current tech cycle. The group talks about the Metaverse, AI development and collaborations between Google and Apple. Jeremy asks if they think there will be competition in the infrastructure as time goes on. The three discuss the potential benefits companies get by investing in Nvidia. Dan and Chris also comment on overseas risks involved with tech and lack of demand from Asia. 

Guest: Daniel Ives is a Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst covering the Technology sector at Wedbush Securities since 2018. Dan has been a tech analyst on Wall Street for over two decades covering the software and the broader technology sector. He spent the first few years of his career as a financial analyst at HBO and then received his MBA in Finance before becoming a globally known technology equity research analyst and Managing Director with FBR Capital Markets for 16 years, focusing on the enterprise software/hardware sectors including cyber security, cloud computing, big data technology, and the mobile landscape. A major area of his research focus is electric vehicles and disruptive technology over the next decade.

Learn more about Dan at: https://www.wedbush.com/analysts/daniel-ives/

Follow Dan on LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/daniel-ives-542321a8

Chris Gannatti is Head of Research at WisdomTree Europe

Follow him on x(Twitter): @CGannatti

Behind the Markets Podcast: Dan Ives

Show from 03/29/24

Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this holiday special by discussing the ups and downs of this week's market. Above average PPI and CPI as well as low retail sales and housing reports balance out for a strong uptrend in the market. The Prof states that indicators do not point to inflation returning. (7:47) Chris joins Jeremy this week to talk about everything that’s happening with the banks. Chris starts off with his opinion on what the Prof had previously stated and the stock markets current position. Jeremy asks Chris about commercial real estate write downs and what the real issue might be there. Chris discusses what it will take to make changes to the bank industry and why major events create catalysts for improvement. Jeremy asks if the Fed can bail out the banks if they reduce rates. Chris comments on current housing prices and why prices remain high in some areas. Chris talks about the new index he is creating and the services he provides.  

Guest: Richard Christopher Whalen is an investment banker and author who lives in New York. He is Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC and focuses on the banking, mortgage finance and fintech sectors. Christopher is a contributing editor at National Mortgage News. He’s a general securities principal and member of FINRA. From 2014 through 2017, Christopher was Senior Managing Director and Head of Research at Kroll Bond Rating Agency, where he was responsible for ratings by the Financial Institutions and Corporate Ratings Groups. He was a principal of Institutional Risk Analytics from 2003 through 2013.

Learn more about Chris at: https://www.rcwhalen.com/

Follow Chris on LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/rcwhalen

Behind the Markets Podcast: Chris Whalen

Show from 03/22/24

Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss this week's market and Powels dovish announcement. The Prof states that the Fed believes trends are decreasing however he feels the economy is still moving along nicely. He notes that deflationary forces have begun to ease up. David joins to give his market opinion alongside the Prof as the two discuss their opposing views. (23:42) David continues with Jeremy to talk about how he forecasts the market with his business. Jeremy asks David about consumer sales and how it’s affecting some of the luxury brands. David touches on topics like the employment report, and recent comments from Bullard. He gives his case on why he loves the Japanese Market. David also talks about India as another alternative market to China. 

Guest: David is the Founder and President of Rosenberg Research. Prior to Rosenberg Research, David was Chief Economist & Strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. from 2009 to 2019. From 2002 to 2009, he was Chief North American Economist at Merrill Lynch in New York. During this time, he was consistently ranked in the Institutional Investor All-Star analyst rankings. Prior thereto, he was Chief Economist and Strategist for Merrill Lynch Canada, based out of Toronto, where he and his team placed first in the Brendan Wood survey of Canadian economists for ten years in a row. Mr. Rosenberg is a frequent contributor to major financial newspapers and publications in North America and makes regular TV appearances in the financial media. He received both a Bachelor of Arts and Master of Arts degree in Economics from the University of Toronto.

Learn more about David at: https://www.rosenbergresearch.com/

Follow David on X(Twitter): @EconguyRosie

Behind the Markets Podcast: Dr. Diego Rodriguez Palenzuela, Kevin Flanagan, & Jillian Fornito

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