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The expanded College Football Playoff (CFP) structure, which reserves seven spots for at-large teams, makes a three-bid scenario for the Big 12 entirely plausible, though it requires both internal dominance and external chaos. The dream scenario hinges on the emergence of three distinct, highly-ranked contenders, all with stellar résumés.
The foundation for this success starts with the top two Big 12 programs—for instance, a team like BYU and one like Texas Tech—navigating their non-conference slates with signature wins over highly-ranked opponents from the SEC or Big Ten. Both teams must enter the Big 12 Championship game with only one loss (or preferably, undefeated), ensuring the loser remains firmly in the top ten.
Crucially, a third program, perhaps a Utah or Cincinnati, must finish the regular season at 10-2 or 11-1, having narrowly missed the title game due to a complicated tiebreaker. This third team's losses must be to the other top Big 12 contenders and no one else, maximizing the perceived strength of the conference.
For the committee to select three Big 12 teams, the SEC and Big Ten must cannibalize their own third-tier contenders. We need both dominant conference champions (e.g., an undefeated Georgia and a one-loss Ohio State), but then their third-ranked teams must have suffered three or more losses, eliminating them from at-large consideration. Furthermore, independent powers like Notre Dame and the third-best teams from the ACC need to finish with two or more losses. This collective national attrition clears the path, leaving the committee no choice but to recognize the three elite Big 12 contenders, awarding them a conference champion auto-bid, and two subsequent high-ranking at-large spots.
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FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)
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By Locked On Podcast Network, Drake Toll3.6
235235 ratings
The expanded College Football Playoff (CFP) structure, which reserves seven spots for at-large teams, makes a three-bid scenario for the Big 12 entirely plausible, though it requires both internal dominance and external chaos. The dream scenario hinges on the emergence of three distinct, highly-ranked contenders, all with stellar résumés.
The foundation for this success starts with the top two Big 12 programs—for instance, a team like BYU and one like Texas Tech—navigating their non-conference slates with signature wins over highly-ranked opponents from the SEC or Big Ten. Both teams must enter the Big 12 Championship game with only one loss (or preferably, undefeated), ensuring the loser remains firmly in the top ten.
Crucially, a third program, perhaps a Utah or Cincinnati, must finish the regular season at 10-2 or 11-1, having narrowly missed the title game due to a complicated tiebreaker. This third team's losses must be to the other top Big 12 contenders and no one else, maximizing the perceived strength of the conference.
For the committee to select three Big 12 teams, the SEC and Big Ten must cannibalize their own third-tier contenders. We need both dominant conference champions (e.g., an undefeated Georgia and a one-loss Ohio State), but then their third-ranked teams must have suffered three or more losses, eliminating them from at-large consideration. Furthermore, independent powers like Notre Dame and the third-best teams from the ACC need to finish with two or more losses. This collective national attrition clears the path, leaving the committee no choice but to recognize the three elite Big 12 contenders, awarding them a conference champion auto-bid, and two subsequent high-ranking at-large spots.
Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Peloton
Let yourself run, lift, flex, and push forward. Explore the new Peloton Cross Training Tread+ today at https://www.onepeloton.com.
DoorDash
With DoorDash Streaks, you save every Saturday you order — stack it up all season and you could save up to $250. Order this Saturday. Keep the streak alive. Fuel your gameday — only with DoorDash. Terms apply. Promo period through 11/18.
Mazda
It’s the small details that make the big plays. And just like there’s more to every player, there’s more to a Mazda vehicle.
Mazda. Move and Be Moved.
Gametime
Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.
FanDuel
Today's episode is brought to you by FanDuel. Football season is around the corner, visit the FanDuel App today and start planning your futures bets now.
FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)
Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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