The Pod of Gold

“Don’t Fight This Rally” – Gold Hits New Highs as the US Dollar Falters


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In this episode, Nicholas Frappell, Global Head of Institutional Markets at ABC Refinery explains why Gold has surged to a historic US $3,759, and the momentum shows no sign of slowing.

📆 Recorded on Tuesday 23rd September 2025, this episode explores:

  • Why weakness in the US dollar and shifting Federal Reserve policy are fuelling the rally

  • Key price targets—including short-term resistance around US $3,800 and medium-term potential near US $4,000

  • The surge in ETF inflows and investor rotation out of equities

  • Geopolitical flashpoints and economic signals from China that could keep gold in demand

📈 Frappell also examines:

  • Dollar Index (DXY) weakness and what past declines suggest for a possible rebound.

  • September’s 25-bp cut and why the market’s hopes for deeper, faster easing may be misplaced.

  • Inflation break-even rates and why the Fed’s own projections challenge the “rapid cuts” narrative.

  • Rotation out of US equities and into gold as a hedge.

  • Technical targets: short-term and medium-term

  • Key support zones

  • Escalating tensions—Russian jets, uncertain US leadership—and their impact on safe-haven demand.

  • China’s slowing fixed-asset investment and soft consumption shaping global trade flows.

🕒 Timestamps:

  • (00:00) – Introduction

  • (00:55) – Moves behind the gold rally

  • (04:55) – Managed money positioning

  • (08:38) – Gold price targets

  • (11:20) – Is the US dollar losing its grip?

  • (13:07) – Geopolitics & macro drivers

  • (14:08) – Key takeaways


🔗 More Resources:

  • Visit: https://www.abcrefinery.com/podcast

  • Follow Nick Frappell: https://twitter.com/nick_frappell

  • Follow Shae Russell: https://twitter.com/shaearussell

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The Pod of GoldBy ABC Refinery