Gambling With an Edge - Jack Allweil on World Cup Soccer

Our guest this week is Jack Allweil. Jack wrote a book called "Make Better Bets: An Actuary's Quest to Bet the Russian 2018 FIFA World Cup with Excel." We talk to Jack about his book, and his experience betting the last World Cup.We welcome your questions - send them to us at [email protected], or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdgeShow Notes [00:00] introduction Jack Allweil, author of Make Better Bets[00:35] Betting on soccer[03:04] Using a model with few variables[05:31] Time spent on the model, benefits of a passion project[07:14] How much data from 2018 will be relevant in 2022?[09:22] Other potential variables, like country popularity skewing lines, VAR reviews[11:16] Getting bets down[12:50] Analyzing the 2018 results[15:03] Betting on all four teams in a group[18:08] Line shopping[20:33] Relocating to bet more easily[21:58] How did losing a job change Jack's life?[24:20] Jack's wife, Elena[25:52] Betting other soccer leagues[27:03] What's the next big thing that Jack will be betting on?[28:38] South Point Casino January Promotion - $500k Spin to Win[31:12] http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site and advantage play community with software and tracking tools[31:45] http://VideoPoker.com/gwae - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, free Pro Membership trial for GWAE listeners[32:58] Choosing the name Make Better Bets[34:59] Kelly criteria[37:26] Betting as a married man[39:33] Brothers on Books podcast[40:53] Contacting Jack[41:47] Recommended: Cryptonomicon by Neal Stephenson, Libby app for libraries, Wall Street Bets by Jaime RogozinskiSponsored Links:http://SouthPointCasino.comhttp://BlackjackApprenticeship.comhttp://VideoPoker.com/gwaeBooks Referenced:Make Better Bets by Jack Allweil https://amzn.to/3Ahb56MGuest Links:http://Podcasts.apple.com/ar/podcast/the-brothers-on-books-podcast/id1557162870Recommended:Cryptonomicon by Neal Stephenson https://amzn.to/33uaId7http://Libbyapp.comWall Street Bets by Jaime Rogozinski https://amzn.to/3qNVckMLearn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices