George Friedman, Peter Zeihan. Ukraine, Russia, China, Taiwan

George Friedman, Peter Zeihan. Ukraine, Russia, China, Taiwan

Ukraine Draws the Limits of Power to Russia & China | George Friedman

China Is Not Russia and Taiwan Is Not Ukraine | Peter Zeihan

Ukraine's Geography and Economy

Putin's Russia Is Dying in Ukraine, Intelligence | Peter Zeihan, George Friedman

Ukraine Draws the Limits of Power to Russia & China | George Friedman

https://youtu.be/dX1N5bce--I

47,258 views

Apr 29, 2022

GEONOW

While politicians and analysts worry that China might take advantage of the Ukraine war to seize Taiwan, they should consider Beijing’s potential windfall from the geopolitical and economic collapse of its closest international partner. Already, China has been served up a rich offering of Russia’s distressed companies and trade-sanctioned oil, gas, coal, gold, industrial metals, and food commodities suddenly made illegal to most other countries on world markets. At a time of record food prices, US$100 oil, and raging global inflation, China has been gifted access to this bounty of discounted resources, courtesy of Russia’s self-inflicted crisis and the unprecedented level of sanctions imposed on its economy by the West. (India, the other major beneficiary, has already picked up a cargo of Russia’s Urals crude at a discount of 20 percent in defiance of Western sentiments and sanctions). The Russians are also pumping hard cash into China’s slowing economy. Cut off from the global banking system, desperate Russian companies and individuals are rushing to open accounts with Chinese financial institutions. The capital flight and transfer of wealth from Russia into the world’s second-largest economy are likely to be substantial and possibly sustained. Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nb3L... ✅ Subscribe: https://bit.ly/3slupxs https://beacons.ai/GEONOW #Evergrande #Ukrainewar #GeorgeFriedman #Energycrisis #China Ukraine Draws the limits of Power to Russia & China | George Friedman

China Is Not Russia and Taiwan Is Not Ukraine | Peter Zeihan

https://youtu.be/DJPfucMsw-o

105,191 views

May 1, 2022

GEONOW

22.8K subscribers

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — the most consequential military conflict Europe has witnessed since the Second World War — has riveted the attention of the world. Observers have grappled with the meaning of the act of aggression and scrambled to ponder the wider implications of the war. Almost inevitably people look to draw analogies—both historical and contemporary ones. One popular contemporary analogy is between Russia’s actions vis-à-vis Ukraine and China’s approach to Taiwan. Beyond some broad-brush parallels — the most obvious parallel being that both Ukraine and Taiwan are peace-loving democracies that are the objects of belligerent irredentism on the part of more militarily powerful and threatening neighboring autocracies — there are also significant differences. Xi Jinping’s China is not Vladimir Putin’s Russia, and Taiwan is not Ukraine. China Is Not Russia Russia under Putin has repeatedly dispatched its armed forces for combat missions overseas to a range of countries, including Georgia, Syria and Ukraine, as well as conducted major military interventions against other states, most recently Kazakhstan (albeit at the invitation of that country’s president). Moscow has also actively supported armed groups and militias in some of these same countries and others. Taiwan Is Not Ukraine The fact that Ukraine is not a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was almost certainly a decisive factor in Putin’s calculus to invade Ukraine. Russia’s commander in chief knew that his invading forces would likely not have to contend with the militaries of any other countries. And if there were any lingering doubts in the Kremlin about the disposition of the most powerful member of NATO, U.S. President Joe Biden stated publicly that the United States would not send military forces to help defend Ukraine. Nevertheless, the Biden administration has taken