Has Afghanistan shown Biden to be incompetent and callous?  ... Will Afghanistan impact Biden politically?  ... Do the Moderate Nine hold better cards than Nancy Pelosi in the budget resolution showdown? ...

Leaving Afghanistan (Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis)

Smart people talking about politics, policy, culture and other stuff

Iran’s “Imminent” Attack (Robert Wright & Andrew Day)

Why Paul’s eclipse experience eclipsed Bob’s  ... Remembering pioneering psychologist Daniel Kahneman  ... Bob fails gender affirmation test  ... Has the “replication crisis” tainted Kahneman’s legacy?  ... Eastern vs. Western “enlightenment”  ... How AI doomerism came to the rationalist community  ... 3 Body Problem review goes into Overtime ...

Daniel Kahneman and the Rationalists (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)

Are Republican Trump critics returning to the GOP fold?  ... Has Trump threaded the needle on abortion?  ... Can Biden shift the nation's attention to abortion? ...

Can Abortion Sink Trump? (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)

A brief message from Bob  ... Derek and Danny stumble into Bob’s Zoom room   ... Israel’s doubly out-of-control week  ... How Biden's Gaza failures will shape the Democratic Party  ... Biden’s political incentives on Israel-Palestine  ... Heading to Overtime   ...

Biden’s Israel Problem (Robert Wright, Derek Davison, and Daniel Bessner)

Robin’s history of thinking about the future  ... Seeing AI as offspring, not adversary  ... Robin’s famous answer to a great cosmic mystery  ... Would evidence of aliens be good news or bad?  ... Is rationalist culture cultist?  ... LLMs: revolution or hype cycle?  ... Heading to Overtime ...

Leaving Afghanistan (Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis)

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