Source

“Reflections on Warfare Brought by AGI” (AGI带来的战争思考)
Source: PLA Daily (解放军报)
Date: January 21, 2025
Authors: Rong Ming (荣明), Hu Xiaofeng (胡晓峰)

Introduction

Please feel free to skip to the translation, about halfway down, though I would recommend reading the sections “On the source” and "On the Authors" just above it too.

In November 2024, the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission recommended that “Congress establish and fund a Manhattan Project-like program dedicated to racing to and acquiring an Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) capability.” The United States increasingly treats advanced AI as a strategic imperative, and China is frequently invoked as a reason to race. The broader framing of AI competition as a race between great powers reflects an assumption that China is a peer competitor in pursuing AGI.

But is China pursuing AGI? The prevailing expert view says no. China's August 2025 AI+ Action Plan reads as diffusion-first industrial policy, with adoption targets of 70 percent by 2027 and 90 percent by 2030, not frontier ambitions. In a June 2025 paper, "The Most Dangerous Fiction: The Rhetoric and Reality of the AI Race," Cambridge researcher Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh argued that there was little evidence of [...]

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Outline:

(00:41) Introduction

(05:21) On the source

(06:42) On the authors

(07:41) Translation

(21:24) Conclusion

(22:31) Acknowledgements

The original text contained 22 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

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First published:

Source:

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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