The Bayesian Conspiracy

By The Bayesian Conspiracy

Society & Culture Philosophy

What's The Bayesian Conspiracy about?

A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.

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The Bayesian Conspiracy episodes:

04.17.2024
210 – Demographic Collapse & Religion with Simone & Malcolm Collins
We speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done? LINKS Based Camp YouTube and Podcast Pronatalist.org The mentioned where to live document Project Eureka (the...
04.15.2024
Bayes Blast 29 – VibeClipse
Steven and Eneasz regale each other and you with our stories, experiences, and takeaways from VibeClipse. The video Eneasz mentioned with him and especially Jen reacting to totality.
04.08.2024
Bayes Blast 28 – Bass Blast
Yassine tells us what’s wrong with DJs and reveals their ancient mystical secrets. His post, DJ At Law Watch DJ-crush Tinzo spinning her craft
04.03.2024
209 – The World’s Most Wholesome Gangbang, with Lucy Belmont (Fluffer B)
We speak to Lucy Belmont, Fluffer B from Aella’s Birthday Gangbang. Guys, this is the most wholesome and fantastic thing we’ve ever heard, for real. LINKS Aella’s post on her birthday gangbang, with many charts and graphs LucyBelmont.com Also Lucy on TwitterX, or contact...
04.01.2024
Bayes Blast 27 – SubStack Launch and Animorphs Launch
You can now subscribe to us on SubStack. You can hear the Rational!Animorphs fanfic (and Luminosity) at AskWho’s channel
03.20.2024
208.ai – Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0 – By Andrew Cutler
The full audio of the article we discuss. Many thanks to AskWho for creating it! It can also be found at https://askwhocastsai.substack.com/p/eve-theory-of-consciousness-v30-by AskWho can be supported at https://www.patreon.com/AskwhoCastsAI and many many more essays and stories are available there.
03.20.2024
208 – Snakes On A Brain: Eve Theory of Consciousness v3 with Andrew Cutler
We talk with Andrew Cutler about how pre-modern women spread consciousness through our species via a snake cult. This is a follow up to episode 205, which you should listen to first if you haven’t yet. LINKS Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0:...
03.11.2024
Bayes Blast 26 – AskWho On The Future of Narration
The future is now and it’s getting closer by the minute. Everyone check out AskWho’s Patreon and donate if you’re able to. 11Labs is the main tool AskWho uses. We mentioned OpenAI’s Sora. Check out this video.
03.06.2024
207 – Raising Free Range Kids via Camp Dorkaround
To raise successful adults, children must experience the ability to act in the real world. Jennifer gives practical advice on how to do exactly that in an entirely sane way. LINKS Lenore Skenazy’s original post “Why I Let My 9-Year-Old Ride the...
02.21.2024
206 – What Chronic Pain and Trauma Junkies Have In Common
Steven explains the Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of chronic pain to Eneasz, and Eneasz opines on feedback cycles in psychological trauma. Main: The “mind-body vicious cycle” model of RSI & back pain OTHER LINKS Play Tetris after traumatic events to prevent PTSD ACX review of...
02.13.2024
Bayes Blast 25 – Betting On Love
Where we marvel at the unparalleled game of our man Phil. Watch Bet On Love, starts at 17 minutes. Dating show portion starts at 24 minutes. The Death Bed Song Wes’s twitter reply
02.12.2024
Bayes Blast 24 – The Answerers
Lets teach our gods ancient Sumerian only The case for training frontier AIs on Sumerian-only corpus Our previous Snake Cult of Consciousness episode LLAMA PRO: Progressive LLaMA with Block Expansion
02.07.2024
205.ai – The Snake Cult of Consciousness narration
AskWho from the TBC Discord kindly provided full audio narration of Andrew Cutler’s original post! This is taken directly from AskWho’s substack. You can help him out at his Patreon. Many thanks to AskWho for creating this and giving permission to share...
02.07.2024
205 – The Snake Cult of Consciousness
We discuss the idea that human consciousness may have literally been kick-started by a ritual developed by a snake cult, which is surprisingly plausible. The Snake Cult of Consciousness by Andrew Cutler or listen to the original post in audio, thanks to...
01.24.2024
204 – Simulacra Levels with Zvi (and more)
We speak with Zvi Mowshowitz about his work and recent history, what happened at OpenAI, and then really dig into Simulacra Levels – a way to categorize the different types of things people are attempting to do when they say...
01.10.2024
203 – The Self-Indulgent Episode
Steven and Eneasz just chat a whole lot about random things, and take some listener mail. Topics include: Rationality Quotes, Polyamory, Bostrom, Justice, and Vengeance OTHER LINKS Yassine’s post MonoPoly Restricted Trust TBC 14 – Street Epistemology There Are 4 Lights 0:00:23 – Relentless Self-Indulgence 2:03:38...
12.13.2023
202 – The Center for AI Policy talks government regulation
Can we do anything to approach the creation of an artificial super intelligence more cautiously and methodically? Jason Green-Lowe and Jakub Kraus of CAIP think so, and they’re working the government side of the problem. The Center for AI Policy Careers at...
12.01.2023
Bayes Blast 23 – Less Fingers = Less Blasting?
Are there other ways to disincentivize attempted murder? Related Episodes: 196 and 198 and BB22
11.30.2023
Bayes Blast 22 – The Penal System
You thought the title was a penis joke? For shame. Steven updates Eneasz on the outcome of the trial he served jury duty on in August. Related Episodes: 196 and 198
11.29.2023
201 – The Educated Mind + More with Brandon Hendrickson (part 2)
We talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more. The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science...
11.15.2023
200 – The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson
We talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.” The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes,...
11.01.2023
199 – Polyamory with Aella and Yassine
We are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine. NOTE – LINKS Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella The Amory Spectrum by Aella Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by Yassine Cuckoldry as Status Jockeying by Yassine Yassine...
10.19.2023
198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias?
Two smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug 196 – Steven Goes To...
10.04.2023
197 – What To Expect When You’re Expecting To Go To Burning Man
We talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year LINKS You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man Burning Man Survival Guide The Time I...
09.23.2023
Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts
How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.
09.20.2023
196 – Steven Goes To Court
Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild...
09.06.2023
195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!
Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to it...
08.23.2023
194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella
We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men in long-term relationships aren’t doin too...
08.15.2023
Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender
Kill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements origin
08.10.2023
Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen
Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. Musicgen Audiogen
08.09.2023
193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout
We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of the US Federal racial categories SSC post...
07.26.2023
192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex
Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life 1:21:25 –...
07.14.2023
Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride
Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!
07.12.2023
191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle
Seriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 – What is a Post-Rat? 1:03:13 –...
07.03.2023
Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity)
How to talk about the future From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of Things
06.30.2023
Bayes Blast 15 – Technological Overemployment
Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT
06.28.2023
190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke
We talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What are vibes? Meme to Vibe:...
06.27.2023
Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks
Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in the blast are...
06.14.2023
189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef
David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% of ChatGPT’s Performance GPT...
05.31.2023
188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman
Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a budget Three Worlds...
05.17.2023
187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton
Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him at [email protected] Other...
05.16.2023
Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2
Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence
05.03.2023
186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy
We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken Ham’s Ark EconTalk Podcast with Russ...
04.25.2023
Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills
One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener.
04.19.2023
185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni
We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a coward...
04.15.2023
Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal
With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal
04.10.2023
Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues
Speaking in GPT tongues with Matt MUDsim Respectful Criticism Lambda Calc? gfodor’s take Eliezer take + followup
04.07.2023
Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy
The salt in pasta water fallacy
04.05.2023
184 – The Cultic Milieu
We discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:01 – Thank...
04.02.2023
Bayes Blast 8 – An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers
An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

What's The Bayesian Conspiracy about?

Download our free app to listen on your phone

The Bayesian Conspiracy episodes:

210 – Demographic Collapse & Religion with Simone & Malcolm Collins

Bayes Blast 29 – VibeClipse

Bayes Blast 28 – Bass Blast

209 – The World’s Most Wholesome Gangbang, with Lucy Belmont (Fluffer B)

Bayes Blast 27 – SubStack Launch and Animorphs Launch

208.ai – Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0 – By Andrew Cutler

208 – Snakes On A Brain: Eve Theory of Consciousness v3 with Andrew Cutler

Bayes Blast 26 – AskWho On The Future of Narration

207 – Raising Free Range Kids via Camp Dorkaround

206 – What Chronic Pain and Trauma Junkies Have In Common

Bayes Blast 25 – Betting On Love

Bayes Blast 24 – The Answerers

205.ai – The Snake Cult of Consciousness narration

205 – The Snake Cult of Consciousness

204 – Simulacra Levels with Zvi (and more)

203 – The Self-Indulgent Episode

202 – The Center for AI Policy talks government regulation

Bayes Blast 23 – Less Fingers = Less Blasting?

Bayes Blast 22 – The Penal System

201 – The Educated Mind + More with Brandon Hendrickson (part 2)

200 – The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson

199 – Polyamory with Aella and Yassine

198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias?

197 – What To Expect When You’re Expecting To Go To Burning Man

Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts

196 – Steven Goes To Court

195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!

194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella

Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender

Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen

193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout

192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex

Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride

191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle

Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity)

Bayes Blast 15 – Technological Overemployment

190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke

Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks

189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef

188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman

187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton

Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2

186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy

Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills

185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni

Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal

Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues

Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy

184 – The Cultic Milieu

Bayes Blast 8 – An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers