US President Donald Trump states he initiated conflict with Iran independently, not at Israel's urging, as peace negotiations remain uncertain with the ceasefire set to expire within 48 hours. The talks face major obstacles over the Strait of Hormuz's reopening and sanctions relief, with Vice President J.D. Vance reportedly not travelling to Islamabad for negotiations. Analysts suggest a new status quo may emerge where the US avoids returning to war while Iran maintains control of the Strait but charges transit fees, though neither side achieves their primary objectives of sanctions relief or nuclear compromises.

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