The US housing market is experiencing a pivotal shift as of mid-October 2025, with conditions becoming increasingly favorable for buyers after years of seller dominance. According to Realtor.com data released this week, October 12 marks the official start of the best buying week of 2025, offering prospective homebuyers more listings, lower prices, and reduced competition compared to earlier in the year.
Mortgage rates show mixed signals in recent days. The national average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stands at 6.42 percent as of October 12, representing a slight uptick from the prior day but still down 7 basis points from the previous week's average of 6.49 percent. The 30-year fixed refinance rate has dropped more substantially to 6.73 percent, providing relief for existing homeowners. However, adjustable-rate mortgages are experiencing greater volatility, with 5-year ARMs climbing to 7.02 percent.
Inventory levels have improved significantly, with Realtor.com projecting 32.6 percent more active listings during the third week of October compared to the start of 2025. National inventory surpassed 1 million listings in late spring, though it remains slightly below pre-pandemic levels. This increased supply means buyers who purchase during this window could save over $15,000 compared to summer peak prices on a median-priced home of $439,450.
Market dynamics are shifting decisively toward buyers. Seller momentum has waned compared to earlier in the year, with newly listed homes ticking up for the first time in several weeks. Time on market has stretched back to pre-pandemic norms, and sellers are becoming more amenable to negotiations and price reductions. Industry leaders like Bluenest Development report increased buyer inquiries following recent rate improvements.
Despite these positive trends, challenges persist. The Federal Reserve has raised concerns about housing market deterioration, noting weakening demand and falling prices in some areas. Builders face oversupply issues, with new home inventory reaching 7.4 months in August 2025. The market remains constrained by affordability concerns and economic uncertainty, though experts characterize 2025 as the most balanced housing market since 2016.
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This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI