Today is February 1 and the Navigate the Chaos question to consider is "Do you confuse association with causation?"  Those who navigate the chaos often work hard at understanding the concept: "Correlation is not causation.” In The Guardian, Nathan Green wrote “Correlation is not causation means that just because two things correlate does not necessarily mean that one causes the other. As a seasonal example, just because people in the UK tend to spend more in the shops when it's cold and less when it's hot doesn't mean cold weather causes frenzied high-street spending. A more plausible explanation would be that cold weather tends to coincide with Christmas and the New Year sales.”