Game Theory

112. Sell in May & Go Away -- Chicken or the Egg?


Listen Later

In this episode, the hosts discuss the adage 'sell in May and go away' and its implications for the stock market. They explore the historical underperformance of the stock market during the summer months and the potential reasons behind it.

They also touch on the impact of the presidential election cycle on stock market performance. The hosts caution that they are not offering financial advice and emphasize the importance of conducting thorough research before making investment decisions.

The conversation explores the concept of 'Sell in May and go away,' which suggests that investors should sell their stocks in May and re-enter the market in October. The hosts discuss the historical data and theories behind this strategy, including the sell-off before summer vacations and the cyclical nature of the stock market.

They also touch on the influence of cultural factors and the limitations of using past performance as an indicator of future results. The conversation highlights the importance of considering other factors and making informed investment decisions.


Takeaways

The adage 'sell in May and go away' suggests that the stock market tends to underperform during the summer months.

Historical data shows that the stock market has lower average returns from May to October compared to November to April.

Presidential election years may see higher stock market returns during the summer months.

The housing market and the academic calendar may contribute to the underperformance of the stock market in the summer.

It is important to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. The 'Sell in May and go away' strategy suggests selling stocks in May and re-entering the market in October.

The strategy is based on historical data and theories, such as the sell-off before summer vacations and the cyclical nature of the stock market.

Cultural factors and regional differences may influence the effectiveness of the strategy.

Using past performance as the sole indicator of future results is not reliable, and other factors should be considered.

Making informed investment decisions requires analyzing multiple factors and understanding the limitations of certain strategies.


Chapters

00:00 Introduction to the 'Sell in May and Go Away' Adage

06:33 Elon Musk's Controversial Battery Range Lock

10:24 Understanding the Underperformance of the Stock Market in the Summer

21:39 The Impact of Presidential Election Years on Stock Market Performance

25:07 The Importance of Conducting Thorough Research Before Making Investment Decisions

26:34 Understanding the 'Sell in May and go away' Strategy

27:47 Exploring the Effect in the Southern Hemisphere

28:02 The Myth of Flushing Direction and Investment Strategy

29:07 Considering Other Factors in Investment Decisions

31:23 The Influence of Vibes and Cultural Factors

35:29 The Importance of Informed Investment Decisions

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Game TheoryBy Game Theory

  • 4.3
  • 4.3
  • 4.3
  • 4.3
  • 4.3

4.3

33 ratings


More shows like Game Theory

View all
This American Life by This American Life

This American Life

91,012 Listeners

Stuff You Should Know by iHeartPodcasts

Stuff You Should Know

78,321 Listeners

Freakonomics Radio by Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher

Freakonomics Radio

32,134 Listeners

The Joe Rogan Experience by Joe Rogan

The Joe Rogan Experience

229,106 Listeners

Planet Money by NPR

Planet Money

30,672 Listeners

The Moth by The Moth

The Moth

27,194 Listeners

The Poker Coaching Podcast with Jonathan Little by Jonathan Little

The Poker Coaching Podcast with Jonathan Little

318 Listeners

Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast by Fantasy Football

Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast

29,787 Listeners

THE ED MYLETT SHOW by Ed Mylett | Cumulus Podcast Network

THE ED MYLETT SHOW

14,028 Listeners

The Daily by The New York Times

The Daily

112,758 Listeners

Crime Junkie by audiochuck

Crime Junkie

368,665 Listeners

The Intelligence from The Economist by The Economist

The Intelligence from The Economist

2,530 Listeners

The Ezra Klein Show by New York Times Opinion

The Ezra Klein Show

16,042 Listeners

The Mel Robbins Podcast by Mel Robbins

The Mel Robbins Podcast

20,129 Listeners

The BlackRain79 Poker Audio Experience by Nathan ”BlackRain79” Williams

The BlackRain79 Poker Audio Experience

6 Listeners