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141 – 2021 Fantasy Football Hot Takes
2021 Fantasy Football Hot Takes
Hello Heat Seekers Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 141 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
Well, I am back, finally sitting down in from of the mic, for the first time since early June. It feels like forever, and it sure feels great to back. I have been focusing on the written content for our website. I recently completed my Top-50 Series which highlights each player in the top 50 startup ADP over at Dynasty League Football.
Each season this podcast takes a turn in the offseason to a dynasty format focus and in training camp I turn it more towards redraft formats. Today kicks off the redraft focus of the pod, with that said I am always focused on dynasty as well. Today is my annual BOLD TAKES, or HOT TAKES, whichever you prefer.
Quarterbacks
2021 Fantasy Football Hot Takes
There has never been a QB to have a season in which he threw for 4000 yards and ran for 1000 yards. In 2021 there won’t be one to do it, there will be three – Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, and Jalen Hurts.
2021 has 17 games, so assuming health for all three, improvements to the receiving core in Philly and Baltimore and a healthy Philadelphia offensive line, these are well within reach for both Lamar and Jalen. In Lamar Jackson’s 2019 MVP season he finished with 3127 yards passing and 1206 yards rushing. Last season he threw for 2,757 yards and had another 1,005 on the ground. Lamar hitting 4000 passing yards is the biggest concern here for me. His MVP pace over 17 games would have been 3,322. He will need to average 236 passing yards a week. His career best is 208/game.
Jalen Hurts in 2020 in his three full starts threw for 847 yards and ran for 238. His 16-game pace extrapolates to 4517 yards passing and 1269 yards rushing. Do I expect him to finish a fell season at this pace, no I don’t but I do see Hurts being a top 5-8 fantasy QB this season and to get there he is going to need to use his legs. The passing game is his biggest area of opportunity. To throw for over 4000 yards, a QB needs to average a shade over 235 yards a game. With the Eagles o-line healthy and the addition of Devonta Smith, plus Jalen Reagor taking the next step, I see him getting there.
Kyler should hit 4000 yards with ease. In 2020 he threw for 3971 yards and ran for 819 yards. So he was he was 29 yards shy of 4000 passing yards last season and gets an additional game this year to do it. If he averages the 248/game he did in 2020, he will finish with 4216. The rushing will be his area of opportunity – he averaged just over 51 rushing yards a game last season, in order to hit 1000 in 2021 in 17 games he will need to run for 59/game. I believe he can.
Drew Lock will finish 2021 as a top-12 Fantasy QB
Alright assuming that you have not turned off the podcast, I’ll keep going. First things first he wins the job in Denver, I am not concerned that Teddy Bridgewater pushes Lock aside at all.
Drew Lock played in 5 games as a rookie, after dealing with a hand injury early in his rookie season. In those 5 games he completed 64% of his passes for 1020 yards 7 TDs and 2 INTs. Not world beating numbers but over 16 games that is a pace of 3264 yards, 22 TDs and 10 INTS. His 16 games pace was 199 points and a QB26 finish.
2020 – New coaching staff, new OC, no offseason program, no preseason, keep in mind this is still basically a rookie QB. He is limited to 13 games due to injury and being placed on Covid IR.
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By Sully's Two Cents2021 Fantasy Football Hot Takes
Hello Heat Seekers Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 141 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
Well, I am back, finally sitting down in from of the mic, for the first time since early June. It feels like forever, and it sure feels great to back. I have been focusing on the written content for our website. I recently completed my Top-50 Series which highlights each player in the top 50 startup ADP over at Dynasty League Football.
Each season this podcast takes a turn in the offseason to a dynasty format focus and in training camp I turn it more towards redraft formats. Today kicks off the redraft focus of the pod, with that said I am always focused on dynasty as well. Today is my annual BOLD TAKES, or HOT TAKES, whichever you prefer.
Quarterbacks
2021 Fantasy Football Hot Takes
There has never been a QB to have a season in which he threw for 4000 yards and ran for 1000 yards. In 2021 there won’t be one to do it, there will be three – Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, and Jalen Hurts.
2021 has 17 games, so assuming health for all three, improvements to the receiving core in Philly and Baltimore and a healthy Philadelphia offensive line, these are well within reach for both Lamar and Jalen. In Lamar Jackson’s 2019 MVP season he finished with 3127 yards passing and 1206 yards rushing. Last season he threw for 2,757 yards and had another 1,005 on the ground. Lamar hitting 4000 passing yards is the biggest concern here for me. His MVP pace over 17 games would have been 3,322. He will need to average 236 passing yards a week. His career best is 208/game.
Jalen Hurts in 2020 in his three full starts threw for 847 yards and ran for 238. His 16-game pace extrapolates to 4517 yards passing and 1269 yards rushing. Do I expect him to finish a fell season at this pace, no I don’t but I do see Hurts being a top 5-8 fantasy QB this season and to get there he is going to need to use his legs. The passing game is his biggest area of opportunity. To throw for over 4000 yards, a QB needs to average a shade over 235 yards a game. With the Eagles o-line healthy and the addition of Devonta Smith, plus Jalen Reagor taking the next step, I see him getting there.
Kyler should hit 4000 yards with ease. In 2020 he threw for 3971 yards and ran for 819 yards. So he was he was 29 yards shy of 4000 passing yards last season and gets an additional game this year to do it. If he averages the 248/game he did in 2020, he will finish with 4216. The rushing will be his area of opportunity – he averaged just over 51 rushing yards a game last season, in order to hit 1000 in 2021 in 17 games he will need to run for 59/game. I believe he can.
Drew Lock will finish 2021 as a top-12 Fantasy QB
Alright assuming that you have not turned off the podcast, I’ll keep going. First things first he wins the job in Denver, I am not concerned that Teddy Bridgewater pushes Lock aside at all.
Drew Lock played in 5 games as a rookie, after dealing with a hand injury early in his rookie season. In those 5 games he completed 64% of his passes for 1020 yards 7 TDs and 2 INTs. Not world beating numbers but over 16 games that is a pace of 3264 yards, 22 TDs and 10 INTS. His 16 games pace was 199 points and a QB26 finish.
2020 – New coaching staff, new OC, no offseason program, no preseason, keep in mind this is still basically a rookie QB. He is limited to 13 games due to injury and being placed on Covid IR.