2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC West
Hello Heat Seekers Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 142 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
The past three seasons, I have written an 8-part divisional series piece titled; Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer. Approaching the 2021 season, I am happy to bring you the fourth annual installment of this series.
In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify a players I am buying, a player I am selling, and I selected a flyer off each team. Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP.
As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of start-up drafts or perhaps in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.
We kick off the 2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – with the NFC West.
Arizona Cardinals
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC West
Player I am buying
James Conner – Overall ADP 100 RB38
James Conner joined the Arizona Cardinals this offseason, placing him in a committee with fellow back Chase Edmonds. This ambiguous backfields gives Conner upside as a No. 3 running back that I would be comfortable drafting as early as Round 5.
Conner has been more efficient as a pass catcher than Edmonds, but the expectations is that Conner will handle the early down and short yardage work while Edmonds works more in the passing game. Kliff Kingsbury’s offense has produced 34 running back touchdowns over the past two seasons, giving Conner top-15 upside, and making him an easy buy at his current ADP.
Players I am selling
Kyler Murray – Overall ADP 39 QB3
I have to start this one off by saying I am a huge Kyler Murray fan. Kyler Murray will be one of the first three or four quarterbacks taken in every draft, as he should be. What I am not a fan of is drafting a QB within the first four rounds of the draft. I have Kyler ranked 51st overall and as my QB4.
Entering 2021, Kyler has QB7, and QB2 finishes on his resume, and he possesses QB1 overall upside. The addition of James Conner in my opinion will limit Kyler’s red zone rushing attempts. Nine of Murray’s 11 rushing scores came within the red zone in 2020. Kyler will once again be a top-5 QB barring injury. At his current ADP, I will pass and take my chances on a quarterback in the later rounds.
Take the Flyer
A.J Green – Overall ADP 178 WR63
A.J. Green retuned in 2020 after missing the entire 2019 season with an ankle injury. Green was targeted 104 times last season, that unfortunately only led to 47 receptions for 523 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He finished 111.3 PPR points and as the WR68. Green set career-lows in catch rate (45.2%), yards per catch (11.1) and yards per game (32.7).
They call this take the flyer for a reason folks. Green is now a member of the Arizona Cardinals and Kliff Kingsbury’s Air Raid offense. As a result he has bounceback potential. To be clear his days of being an elite wide receiver are long gone, but in the 14th round he is worth the dart throw.
Los Angeles Rams
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC West
Player I am buying