2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC East
Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 143 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
The past three seasons, I have written an 8-part divisional series piece titled; Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer. Approaching the 2021 season, I am happy to bring you the fourth annual installment of this series.
In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify a players I am buying, a player I am selling, and I selected a flyer off each team. Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of start-up drafts or perhaps in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.
We continue the 2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – with the AFC East.
Buffalo Bills
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC East
Player I Am Buying
Stefon Diggs – Overall ADP 14 WR3
With an ADP this high, there is not much wiggle room. Stefon Diggs however is one of few that I am buying at this ADP. The reality is I have to pick someone in the second round and I would be thrilled if it were Diggs.
Diggs went from a good Fantasy receiver prior to 2020 to one of the best, and he should continue to produce quality stats this season. He’s worth drafting as a top-five Fantasy receiver as early as Round 2 in all leagues. In his first year in Buffalo in 2020, Diggs led the NFL in receptions with a career-best 127 while also producing career highs in targets (166) and yards (1,535), along with eight touchdowns. He scored at least 14 PPR points in all but two games, including more than 20 PPR points seven times. Josh Allen should continue to lean on Diggs, and he has the chance to repeat as the league leader in receptions and targets. Its Diggs’ consistency that lures me in here and I see Stefon Diggs as a WR that could finish as the top scoring WR in fantasy this season.
Players I Am Selling
Josh Allen – Overall ADP 29 QB 2
Buying Stefon Diggs, makes it a little hard to understand why I would be selling his QB. The answer is simple, I prefer to draft my QB later and target other skill player positions in round three. Allen is properly valued, and he is the QB2 in my opinion and has a legit chance to repeat as the QB1.
I had Allen as a sell last season when his ADP was 90th and he was QB10, clearly that was a huge mistake. I figured he would run less with the addition of Zack Moss to pair with Devin Singletary. Well, he continued to use his legs and 2020 was his third season in a row of at least 400 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. He’s a dual-threat quarterback in a pass-happy offense, and he should continue to post dominant stats. While he did lose John Brown this offseason, the addition of Emmanuel Sanders should help offset that. And Diggs, Cole Beasley and hopefully the emergence of Gabriel Davis should help Allen continue to excel. He should again be one the best Fantasy quarterbacks in 2021, and I very well will regret selling him once again.
Take the Flyer
Gabriel Davis – Overall ADP 187 WR64
Fresh off a successful rookie campaign in 2020, Gabriel Davis quickly established himself as a serious threat to score at any opportunity.