2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC South
Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 145 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify a players I am buying, a player I am selling, and I selected a flyer off each team. Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of start-up drafts or perhaps in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.
We continue the 2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – with the AFC South.
Houston Texans
2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – AFC South
Player I Am Buying
Brandin Cooks – Overall ADP 88 WR36
Sorting through the Houston Texans depth chart for a player I want to buy is not the easiest task I have had. This team looks to be the favorite to be picking first overall next spring. There are holes all over this team on both sides of the ball. With that said, Brandin Cooks jumps out to me as the obvious buy candidate.
I get that Tyrod Taylor or perhaps even Davis Mills will be the Texans QB this season. I also am fully aware that is likely not a good thing. Here is the deal the worst passing offense in the NFL last season (Baltimore) had 257 completions for 2,919 yards. As bad as Houston likely is, there will be some offensive production and I believe most will flow thru Brandin Cooks. When healthy he is a legit NFL talent. In his seven NFL seasons, Cooks has a top-12, four top-24, and a top-36 season on his resume. Drafting him at WR36 in round 7 is a value add, and I am buying.
Player I Am Selling
David Johnson – Overall ADP 84 RB32
I have been a David Johnson fan and supporter for years. That support ends here. Johnson has shown in recent seasons that the burst he once had is gone. The offensive line he is playing behind certainly doesn’t help much either. Outside of Laremy Tunsil, there is really nothing there.
Adding to my dislike is the Texans depth chart. Joining Johnson in the backfield in Houston this season is Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram, and Rex Burkhead. I don’t really like any of them and I certainly don’t see any giving us any relevant fantast production on a weekly basis. I am passing on all Texans’ running backs this season and if I have to roster one it would be Lindsay who has an ADP of 160 and RB49.
Take the Flyer
Nico Collins – Overall ADP 272 WR83
Simply put, Houston almost certainly will have to throw often to have a sniff in any of their seventeen games in 2021. If you have to roster a Texan, I would suggest it is in the passing game. Enter Nico Collins.
Collins college quarterbacks failed to take advantage of the mismatch he presents and the Michigan’s team identity certainly wasn’t feeding their receivers. Collins is a breakout candidate and someone I expect will be a much better professional player than a collegiate one. Collins has size and a second gear needed to gain separation and win the battle on contested catches. Collins is more of a dynasty league target, but he’s currently priced as undrafted and he is another player that should exceed his ADP with ease.
Indianapolis Colts