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148 – Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC South
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC South
Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 146 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify a players I am buying, a player I am selling, and I selected a flyer off each team.
Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of start-up drafts or perhaps in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.
We continue the 2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – with the NFC South.
Atlanta Falcons
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC South
Player I Am Buying
Calvin Ridley – Overall ADP 20 WR6
I have been pounding the RotoHeat table for three seasons for you all to add Calvin Ridley to your fantasy rosters. In those three seasons Ridley had delivered WR22, WR27, and WR5 finishes. So, 2021 is no different despite the high price tag, except I am pounding the table even harder this season.
With Julio Jones off to Tennessee, Calvin Ridley is the unquestionable No.1 WR in Atlanta. Calvin Ridley has appeared in 44 NFL games, 36 with Julio in the offense and 8 without Jones in the offense. In his 36 games as the compliment to Jones, Ridley has averaged approximately 6 targets, 4 receptions, 70 yards and .67 touchdowns per game. In his 8 starts with Julio on the sidelines his averages jump to 11 targets, 7 catches, 114 yards and .25 touchdowns. Calvin Ridley has WR1 overall upside and he is an absolute buy in the middle of round two.
Player I Am Selling
Kyle Pitts – Overall ADP 51 TE4
If anyone is a regular follower of my content you’ll likely find this somewhat surprising. To be clear I am still a huge fan of Kyle Pitts. He is my top ranked rookie this season in my 1 QB rankings. When it comes to redraft however I think we need to pump the breaks.
Fantasy tends to hate rookie Tight Ends. I know Pitts is a generational talent and not like any other tight end we have seen enter the league, I get it, hell I have been screaming it since January. This doesn’t change the fact that only two tight ends drafted since 2010 have finished as a top-12 TE in their rookie season. The fact is no matter how good he is the odds are stacked against him.
1st round drafted tight ends since 2010 have averaged 36 receptions, 427 yards, and 3 touchdowns as rookies. 98.6 PPR points and a TE26 finish. I have Pitts ranked as my TE5, 58th overall, which is quite possibly be too high as well. His current ADP is not outrageous but its basically in a range that requires him to be the most successful rookie Tight End in league history to justify drafting him here. That was my bold take earlier this offseason, and it is a possibility but I am going to have to bet against it and sell.
Take the Flyer
Qadree Ollison – Overall ADP 324 RB95
The Atlanta Falcons appear to be rolling into 2021 with Mike Davis as their No.1 RB. This isn’t the worst thing in the world but Mike Davis is anything put a proven No.1 RB. In his six year career his high in touches is 224 which he had last season. Prior to that it was 146 in 2018 his final season in Seattle.
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By Sully's Two Cents2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC South
Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 146 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify a players I am buying, a player I am selling, and I selected a flyer off each team.
Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of start-up drafts or perhaps in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.
We continue the 2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – with the NFC South.
Atlanta Falcons
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – NFC South
Player I Am Buying
Calvin Ridley – Overall ADP 20 WR6
I have been pounding the RotoHeat table for three seasons for you all to add Calvin Ridley to your fantasy rosters. In those three seasons Ridley had delivered WR22, WR27, and WR5 finishes. So, 2021 is no different despite the high price tag, except I am pounding the table even harder this season.
With Julio Jones off to Tennessee, Calvin Ridley is the unquestionable No.1 WR in Atlanta. Calvin Ridley has appeared in 44 NFL games, 36 with Julio in the offense and 8 without Jones in the offense. In his 36 games as the compliment to Jones, Ridley has averaged approximately 6 targets, 4 receptions, 70 yards and .67 touchdowns per game. In his 8 starts with Julio on the sidelines his averages jump to 11 targets, 7 catches, 114 yards and .25 touchdowns. Calvin Ridley has WR1 overall upside and he is an absolute buy in the middle of round two.
Player I Am Selling
Kyle Pitts – Overall ADP 51 TE4
If anyone is a regular follower of my content you’ll likely find this somewhat surprising. To be clear I am still a huge fan of Kyle Pitts. He is my top ranked rookie this season in my 1 QB rankings. When it comes to redraft however I think we need to pump the breaks.
Fantasy tends to hate rookie Tight Ends. I know Pitts is a generational talent and not like any other tight end we have seen enter the league, I get it, hell I have been screaming it since January. This doesn’t change the fact that only two tight ends drafted since 2010 have finished as a top-12 TE in their rookie season. The fact is no matter how good he is the odds are stacked against him.
1st round drafted tight ends since 2010 have averaged 36 receptions, 427 yards, and 3 touchdowns as rookies. 98.6 PPR points and a TE26 finish. I have Pitts ranked as my TE5, 58th overall, which is quite possibly be too high as well. His current ADP is not outrageous but its basically in a range that requires him to be the most successful rookie Tight End in league history to justify drafting him here. That was my bold take earlier this offseason, and it is a possibility but I am going to have to bet against it and sell.
Take the Flyer
Qadree Ollison – Overall ADP 324 RB95
The Atlanta Falcons appear to be rolling into 2021 with Mike Davis as their No.1 RB. This isn’t the worst thing in the world but Mike Davis is anything put a proven No.1 RB. In his six year career his high in touches is 224 which he had last season. Prior to that it was 146 in 2018 his final season in Seattle.