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149 – Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC North
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC North
Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 146 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify a players I am buying, a player I am selling, and I selected a flyer off each team.
Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of start-up drafts or perhaps in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.
Today, we wrap up the 2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – with the AFC North.
Baltimore Ravens
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC North
Player I Am Buying
Gus Edwards- Overall ADP 126 RB41
Many see Gus Edwards as nothing but a back-up running back. I see a back with flex worthy fantasy relevance. Gus Edwards since signing as an unrestricted free agent in 2018 has posted RB53, RB52, and RB37 seasons.
Now those RB finishes likely haven’t gotten your attention, and I get that. What if I tell you that after the Ravens started making Mark Ingram a healthy scratch in week 7, that Edwards was RB25 the remainder of the season averaging 10 PPR points a game. In addition to that he had a near 50% of touches out of the backfield as well. The Ravens like Gus the Bus, and brought him back this offseason as a restricted free agent. J.K. Dobbins is the No.1 back in Baltimore to be clear, but Edwards is going to have a stand alone role, at RB44 he is an easy buy.
Player I Am Selling
Marquise Brown – Overall ADP 117 WR49
I know I mentioned that my buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. It is true but when it comes to Marquise Brown its a easy sell because I don’t like either.
Brown has only topped 50 receiving yards in nine of 30 regular season games he’s played, and is a member of a very heavy run first offense. The Ravens finished 32nd in the league in passing yards in 2020 with 2919. Brown in his two seasons has fantasy finishes of WR46 and WR36. WR36 in 2020 on the surface makes him a buy compared to his current ADP, but upon further review, he had one game where he was targeted 9 times or more and after week 11 he was WR40.
The Ravens drafting two wide receivers and signing Sammy Watkins this offseason tells you all you need to know about how they feel about Brown. He is probably appropriately priced at WR47, but he is near undraftable IMO as there is basically no upside.
Take the Flyer
Rashod Bateman – Overall ADP 218 WR75
So after trash talking the Ravens passing game I am here to tell you to take the flyer on Rashod Bateman. Rashod Bateman was the Ravens’ first selection in the 2021 draft and should instantly compete with Marquise Brown to be the team’s No. 1 receiver.
Bateman’s best value is in Dynasty, where he’s a high upside bench receiver worth a rookie pick early in the second round. The Ravens’ low pass volume will make it tough for Bateman to contribute to your Fantasy team in 2021, but if he beats out Brown, he could be a boom-or-bust No. 3 receiver.
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By Sully's Two Cents2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC North
Hello Heat Seekers welcome to episode 146 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host I am Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat Family of podcasts.
In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify a players I am buying, a player I am selling, and I selected a flyer off each team.
Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of start-up drafts or perhaps in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.
Today, we wrap up the 2021 Buy Sell Take the Flyer Series – with the AFC North.
Baltimore Ravens
2021 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC North
Player I Am Buying
Gus Edwards- Overall ADP 126 RB41
Many see Gus Edwards as nothing but a back-up running back. I see a back with flex worthy fantasy relevance. Gus Edwards since signing as an unrestricted free agent in 2018 has posted RB53, RB52, and RB37 seasons.
Now those RB finishes likely haven’t gotten your attention, and I get that. What if I tell you that after the Ravens started making Mark Ingram a healthy scratch in week 7, that Edwards was RB25 the remainder of the season averaging 10 PPR points a game. In addition to that he had a near 50% of touches out of the backfield as well. The Ravens like Gus the Bus, and brought him back this offseason as a restricted free agent. J.K. Dobbins is the No.1 back in Baltimore to be clear, but Edwards is going to have a stand alone role, at RB44 he is an easy buy.
Player I Am Selling
Marquise Brown – Overall ADP 117 WR49
I know I mentioned that my buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. It is true but when it comes to Marquise Brown its a easy sell because I don’t like either.
Brown has only topped 50 receiving yards in nine of 30 regular season games he’s played, and is a member of a very heavy run first offense. The Ravens finished 32nd in the league in passing yards in 2020 with 2919. Brown in his two seasons has fantasy finishes of WR46 and WR36. WR36 in 2020 on the surface makes him a buy compared to his current ADP, but upon further review, he had one game where he was targeted 9 times or more and after week 11 he was WR40.
The Ravens drafting two wide receivers and signing Sammy Watkins this offseason tells you all you need to know about how they feel about Brown. He is probably appropriately priced at WR47, but he is near undraftable IMO as there is basically no upside.
Take the Flyer
Rashod Bateman – Overall ADP 218 WR75
So after trash talking the Ravens passing game I am here to tell you to take the flyer on Rashod Bateman. Rashod Bateman was the Ravens’ first selection in the 2021 draft and should instantly compete with Marquise Brown to be the team’s No. 1 receiver.
Bateman’s best value is in Dynasty, where he’s a high upside bench receiver worth a rookie pick early in the second round. The Ravens’ low pass volume will make it tough for Bateman to contribute to your Fantasy team in 2021, but if he beats out Brown, he could be a boom-or-bust No. 3 receiver.