伊朗：賴西是煙幕彈，哈梅內伊仍然在做主——分析

如果 Raisi 真的接替了哈梅內伊，這將是伊朗改變的第一個重大機會，無論好壞。

作者：尤娜傑瑞米鮑勃

2021 年 6 月 20 日 15:47

伊朗即將卸任的總統哈桑·魯哈尼於 2021 年 6 月 19 日在伊朗德黑蘭會見了伊朗當選總統易卜拉欣·賴西。

儘管世界各國領導人就易卜拉欣·賴西 在伊朗贏得新的總統大選發表了所有評論和聲明， 但他只是一個煙幕彈。

最高領袖阿亞圖拉阿里哈梅內伊仍然在伊斯蘭共和國的所有關鍵問題上發號施令。

儘管 Raisi 的 強硬 態度是真誠的，但專家們仍然預計美國和伊朗將重返 JCPOA 核協議，甚至可能最快在未來六週內，或至多在日曆年結束前。

這將給耶路撒冷和華盛頓一些暫時的喘息空間，並使德黑蘭遠離距核武器僅幾個月的時間。

然而，這也將使阿亞圖拉有能力資助和支持整個地區的代理人和恐怖組織，這對來自敘利亞、黎巴嫩和加沙的以色列構成了重大威脅。

美國總統喬·拜登在競選期間明確表示希望恢復核協議的主要問題是，伊核協議的條款是否會得到改善。

這個問題的開場白是伊朗在離心機技術方面的進步是否會像以前的 JCPOA 風格一樣被嚴重推遲或僅僅象徵性地被推遲。

實際上，問題是華盛頓是否會讓德黑蘭銷毀其 IR-4、IR-6 和其他先進的離心機，使其能夠以更快的速度濃縮鈾並將它們用於核武器，或者他們是否只會放在倉庫裡。

下一步是是否會達成一項附加協議，將協議的核限制延長至 2030 年以後，並限制彈道導彈試驗的射程，這不僅威脅美國，也威脅以色列，限制伊朗在該地區的冒險主義並擴大國際原子能機構的檢查到“隨時隨地”。

如果不填補這些空白，以色列的任何短期救濟都將很快被潛在爆炸性上升的長期核威脅所取代。

此外，如果不填補這些空白，這個猶太國家將需要繼續其數千次襲擊的政策，以防止將精確制導導彈轉移到敘利亞和黎巴嫩，而加沙的另一場衝突仍將是一個迫在眉睫的潛在問題。

在哈梅內伊執政期間，這些問題一直存在，而萊西並沒有產生任何實際影響。

就目前而言，Raisi 正在製造的唯一區別是在伊朗內部，他可能會在政府內部發起一波壓倒性的政治異議浪潮。

即將卸任的哈桑·魯哈尼政府有時公開批評伊斯蘭革命衛隊在敘利亞、黎巴嫩、伊拉克和也門的戰鬥中投入了大量資金，而不是專注於改善伊朗的國內經濟。

這種批評可能會停止，政府層面將有更多的步調一致的支持。

如果伊朗是一個奇怪的、混合的專制政權，它在辯論某些問題時有一些不同尋常的開放性，並允許少數人進行公開抗議（大量人會導致快速鎮壓，有時會導致大規模殺戮），那麼它可能會轉向更多專制方向。

由於他在 1980 年代提倡大規模處決的歷史，賴西還可能玷污伊朗本已糟糕的國際形象。

但他的真正意義將取決於他能否接替哈梅內伊。

現年 82 歲的哈梅內伊一直有健康問題，許多人看到他為了確保賴西的勝利（賴西在 2017 年以 20% 的選票輸掉了選票）而對當前選舉做出了非凡的篡改，這表明他希望即將上任的總統接替他成為至高無上的總統領導。

如果 Raisi 真的接替了哈梅內伊，這將是伊朗改變的第一個重大機會——無論好壞。

那時，許多人會期望他繼續執行哈梅內伊的政策，因為這是他塑造的公眾形象。

這將意味著伊朗在核領域和代理人領域對以色列保持同等水平的威脅。

然而，改變總是可能的，因為 Raisi 不需要回頭看，他對伊朗未來 20 年的看法可能與哈梅內伊不同。

但考慮到他的職業生涯和他來自的那一代人，在 60 歲時，他不太可能像他可能更加壓抑一樣引發積極的改變。看看巴沙爾·阿薩德 (Bashar Assad) 從他父親哈菲茲 (Hafez) 身上改變的風格。

另一方面，也許擁有一位新領導人會使該政權比過去幾十年更加脆弱，就像巴沙爾·阿薩德 (Bashar Assad) 所發生的那樣。

哈梅內伊現在讓賴西擔任總統的目的是為了阻止這種不穩定。

然而，就在最近的 2019 年，全世界都看到伊朗因抗議而著火，因此即使是哈梅內伊最周密的計劃也可能最終不足以壓制被壓迫的伊朗人民

Iran: Raisi is smokescreen, Khamenei still calls the shots - analysis

If Raisi does succeed Khamenei, this would be the first major opportunity for change in Iran, for better or for worse.

By YONAH JEREMY BOB

JUNE 20, 2021 15:47

Iran's outgoing President Hassan Rouhani meets with Iran's President-elect Ebrahim Raisi in Tehran, Iran June 19, 2021.

(photo credit: OFFICIAL PRESIDENT WEBSITE/HANDOUT VIA REUTERS)

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Despite all of the commentary and statements of world leaders regarding Ebrahim Raisi’s fresh presidential election win in Iran, he is but a smokescreen.

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei still calls the shots on all key issues for the Islamic Republic.

In spite of Raisi’s hard-line bona fides, experts still expect the US and Iran to return to the JCPOA nuclear deal, maybe even as soon as within the next six weeks, or at most before the end of the calendar year.

This will give Jerusalem and Washington some temporary breathing room and push Tehran back from being a mere couple of months away from a nuclear weapon.

However, it will also empower the ayatollahs to up their financing and backing of proxies and terrorist groups throughout the region, which present significant dangers to Israel from Syria, Lebanon and Gaza.

The big questions about the return to the nuclear deal, which US President Joe Biden had made clear he wanted to do in his election campaign, was whether the terms of the JCPOA would be improved.

The opening shot on this issue is whether Iran’s advancements in centrifuge technology will be seriously pushed back or merely symbolically, as was the previous style of the JCPOA.

Practically speaking, the question is whether Washington will get Tehran to destroy its IR-4, IR-6 and other advanced centrifuges that could allow it to enrich uranium at a much faster rate and bolt them toward a nuclear weapon, or whether they will just be placed in storage.

The next move is whether there will be an add-on agreement that extends the deal’s nuclear limits beyond 2030 and restricts ballistic-missile testing for ranges, which threaten not only the US but also Israel, limits Iranian adventurism in the region and expands IAEA inspections to “anytime anywhere.”

Without filling these gaps, any short-term relief for Israel will quickly be replaced by a potentially explosive rising long-term nuclear threat.

Also, without filling these gaps, the Jewish state will need to continue its policy of thousands of attacks to prevent the transfer of precision-guided missiles to Syria and Lebanon, and another conflict in Gaza will remain a looming potential issue.

These were constant issues while Khamenei was in power, and Raisi has made no actual difference.

FOR NOW, the only difference Raisi is making is within Iran, where he is likely to initiate a wave of crushing political dissent at top levels inside the government.

The outgoing government of Hassan Rouhani at times publicly criticized how much the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps invested fighting in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen, instead of focusing on improving the domestic economy of Iran.

This criticism will likely stop, and there will be more lockstep support at the government level.

To the extent that Iran was a strange, mixed authoritarian regime that had some unusual openness to debate certain issues and permit public protests within small numbers (large numbers would lead to quick oppression and sometimes mass killings), it will likely swing to an even more authoritarian direction.

Raisi may also tarnish Iran’s already poor international image due to his history of promoting mass executions in the 1980s.

But his real significance will be based on whether he succeeds Khamenei.

Khamenei, 82, has had ongoing health problems, and many saw his extraordinary tampering with the current election to ensure Raisi’s win (Raisi lost by 20% of the vote in 2017) as a sign that he wants the incoming president to succeed him as supreme leader.

If Raisi does succeed Khamenei, this would be the first major opportunity for change in Iran – for better or for worse.

At that point, many would expect him to continue Khamenei’s policies, as that is the public image he has crafted.

This would mean Iran maintaining the same level of threat against Israel in the nuclear and proxies’ realms.

However, change is always possible since Raisi will not need to look over his shoulder, and he may see Iran’s next 20 years differently than Khamenei.

But given his career and the generation that he comes from, at age 60, he is unlikely to invoke positive change as much as he may be more oppressive; see Bashar Assad’s style of change from his father, Hafez.

On the other hand, maybe having a new leader will make the regime more vulnerable than it has been in decades, as occurred with Bashar Assad.

Khamenei’s putting Raisi into office as president now is designed to thwart such instability.

Yet as recently as 2019, the world saw an Iran on fire with protests, so even Khamenei’s best-laid plans may eventually not be enough to hold down the oppressed Iranian people

伊朗布什爾核電站緊急關閉 - 國家電視台

自 2020 年年中以來，伊朗在全國范圍內目睹了數十起神秘的火災和爆炸事件，其中許多發生在核設施附近。

作者：TZVI JOFFRE ,路透社

2021 年 6 月 20 日 23:30

Bushehr 主核反應堆的視圖，1,200 公里。德黑蘭以南，2010 年

（圖片來源：路透社）

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據伊朗媒體週日報導，伊朗布什爾核電站緊急關閉。

據伊朗法爾斯通訊社報導，伊朗原子能組織報告說，該發電廠的技術缺陷導致該發電廠暫時關閉並與國家電網斷開連接。AEO 表示，該工廠將在未來幾天內重新連接到電網。

伊朗輸電、發電和配電公司 ( TAVANIR) 的副協調員告訴法爾斯，該工廠因“技術維修”而暫時關閉，這將持續大約三到四天。

上個月，伊朗伊斯蘭共和國在布什爾唯一運行的核電站附近發生了一場大火。去年 7 月，布什爾市的德爾瓦造船廠又發生了一場大火。

除了困擾該工廠的火災外，伊朗在 3 月表示，布什爾今年可能會完全停止運營，因為該國因美國製裁造成的財務問題而努力維持該工廠的運轉，半官方的伊朗學生通訊社 (ISNA) ) 報導。

事件發生之際，伊朗和世界大國周日繼續就延長伊朗核協議進行談判，這是自因侵犯人權而受到美國製裁的強硬法官易卜拉欣·賴西當選伊朗下一任總統以來的首次談判。

該事件是伊朗基礎設施特別是核設施中報告的一系列事件中的最新一起。

據稱以色列在 4 月份襲擊了納坦茲核設施，以及其他一些報導的對伊朗目標的襲擊，最初被報導為“事故”。AEO 前負責人 Fereydoon Abbasi-Davani 在襲擊發生後宣布，這是15 年內對納坦茲核電站的第五次此類襲擊。

數以千計的離心機在納坦茲襲擊中被摧毀。去年 7 月的一次單獨襲擊也造成了廣泛的破壞，據報導，伊朗的核計劃推遲了數年。

自去年以來，伊朗的基礎設施和石化工廠發生了多起火災和爆炸事件。伊朗官員將大多數案件稱為事故或事故，儘管一些報導聲稱其中至少有一些涉及犯規。

Iran's Bushehr nuclear power plant has emergency shutdown - state TV

Iran has witnessed dozens of mysterious fires and explosions across the country since mid-2020, many near nuclear facilities.

By TZVI JOFFRE, REUTERS

JUNE 20, 2021 23:30

A VIEW of the Bushehr main nuclear reactor, 1,200 km. south of Tehran, in 2010

(photo credit: REUTERS)

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Iran's Bushehr nuclear power plant underwent an emergency shutdown, Iranian media reported on Sunday.

The Iranian Atomic Energy Organization reported that a technical defect in the power plant led to the plant being temporarily shut down and disconnected from the national electricity grid, according to the Iranian Fars News Agency. The AEO stated that the plant would be reconnected to the electricity grid in the next few days.

The deputy coordinator of the Iran Power Transmission, Generation and Distribution Company (​TAVANIR) told Fars that the plant was temporarily closed for "technical repairs," which would continue for about three to four days.

Last month, a massive fire broke out near the Islamic Republic's only functioning nuclear power plant in Bushehr. Last July, the city of Bushehr saw another large fire break out at the Delvar Shipyard.

In addition to the fires plaguing the plant, Iran said in March that Bushehr could stop operating this year altogether as the country struggles to keep the unit running due to financial troubles caused by American sanctions, the semi-official Iranian Students’ News Agency (ISNA) reported.

The incident comes as Iran and world powers continued negotiations on renewing the Iran nuclear deal on Sunday for the first time since Ebrahim Raisi, a hardline judge under US sanctions for human rights abuses, was elected as Iran's next president.

The incident is the latest in a series of incidents reported in Iranian infrastructure and nuclear facilities in particular.

An alleged Israeli attack on the Natanz nuclear complex in April, as well as a number of other reported attacks on Iranian targets, was initially reported as an "accident." Fereydoon Abbasi-Davani, the former head of the AEO, announced after the attack that it was the fifth such attack on the Natanz nuclear site within 15 years.

Thousands of centrifuges were destroyed in the Natanz attack. A separate attack in July of last year caused extensive damage as well, reportedly setting back Iran's nuclear program by years.

Since last year, a number of fires and explosions have hit Iranian infrastructure and petrochemical plants. Iranian officials referred to most of the cases as incidents or accidents, although some reports have claimed that at least some of them involved foul play.

巴勒斯坦人將與以色列重新談判 COVID-19 疫苗協議

巴勒斯坦權力機構出於恐懼而取消了最初的協議，計劃重新談判從以色列接收超過 100 萬支輝瑞疫苗的協議。

作者：托瓦·拉扎羅夫

2021 年 6 月 20 日 21:18

COGAT 的代表與巴勒斯坦權力機構的代表就冠狀病毒疫苗交易會面

（圖片來源：COGAT）

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在 巴勒斯坦民族權力機構 計劃重新談判一項協議，從以色列獲得140萬輝瑞疫苗，現在，它已經報廢了的擔心原來的協議，一些注射的是過時的。

巴勒斯坦權力機構衛生部長邁·阿爾凱拉週日向巴勒斯坦新聞機構 WAFA 證實，她的辦公室將與輝瑞和以色列衛生部討論如何以確保劑量安全的方式完成協議的實施。

一名以色列外交消息人士證實，雙方於週日進行會談。

“我們將恢復與輝瑞的討論，盡快獲得7月底到期的疫苗，以便我們有足夠的時間為根據國家疫苗接種計劃建立的所有群體接種疫苗，”PA希望如此阿爾凱拉說，要達到 70% 的免疫率。

有爭議的是以色列購買的 140 萬支未使用的輝瑞疫苗，其到期日期定於 6 月底、7 月底和 8 月底。

根據協議，巴勒斯坦衛生部將從以色列倉庫中的 140 萬劑輝瑞公司中獲得所需的疫苗接種。然而，該文件規定，第一批必須在五月底和六月初到達。然而，最終，由於交易細節的分歧推遲了簽署，而且到期日期太近了，阿爾凱拉說。

“所以我們拒絕接收它並將其退還給以色列方面，”她說。

問題之一是以色列反對在巴勒斯坦衛生部長的簽名中使用“巴勒斯坦國”一詞，並試圖阻止疫苗進入加沙地帶，但遭到衛生部斷然拒絕。 ，她解釋道。

阿爾凱拉說，衛生部的責任包括所有巴勒斯坦人民。她說：“我們確認我們將把這些劑量送到任何地方，沒有人將他的意願強加於這個問題。”

與以色列的談判一直持續到上週末，當時輝瑞進行了乾預並確認“我們有權以我們認為合適的方式分發疫苗，並取消以色列對加沙地帶的條件，因此我們上週四同意完成協議並已簽署，”阿爾凱拉告訴 WAFA。

她說，PA 已與輝瑞籤署了一項協議，以每劑 6.75 美元的價格購買 41.4 億劑，並且“PA 是世界上唯一能夠獲得此報價的國家。”

她告訴 WAFA，第一批 205,920 劑計劃於 4 月、5 月和 6 月以每週 20,000 劑的速度交付。第二批 1,795,000 劑原定於 7 月、8 月和 9 月到達。阿爾凱拉說，第三批約 200 萬劑疫苗定於今年的最後三個月，但由於全球需求，預計會出現延誤，而且疫苗要到秋季才會到期。

她說，如果沒有疫苗，將影響秋季學校和大學的開學。

她說，在巴勒斯坦衛生部的壓力下，並通過國際朋友的壓力，輝瑞提議進行交換，將以色列的疫苗交給巴勒斯坦權力機構，當秋季疫苗到達時，它們將被送往以色列用於其公民。

她說，經巴勒斯坦總統和總理批准，在衛生部發言人卡邁勒·沙赫拉的監督下，與以方建立了直接溝通渠道。

此外，衛生部長表示，她的辦公室已與包括 Sputnik 在內的疫苗製造商簽署了幾項協議，該公司已簽約購買 50 萬劑，但由於全球對疫苗的巨大需求，交付日期經常發生變化。

Palestinians to renegotiate COVID-19 vaccine deal with Israel

Palestinian Authority plans to renegotiate deal to receive over a million Pfizer vaccines from Israel, after scrapping the original agreement out of fear.

By TOVAH LAZAROFF

JUNE 20, 2021 21:18

Representatives from COGAT meet with their Palestinian Authority counterparts regarding the Coronavirus vaccine deal

(photo credit: COGAT)

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The Palestinian Authority plans to renegotiate a deal to receive 1.4 million Pfizer vaccines from Israel, now that it has scrapped the original agreement out of fear that some of the injections are outdated.

PA Health Minister Mai Alkaila confirmed to the Palestinian news agency WAFA on Sunday that her office would discuss with Pfizer and the Israeli Health Ministry how to complete the implementation of the agreement in a way that would ensure the safety of the doses.

An Israeli diplomatic source confirmed that talks between the sides were ongoing on Sunday.

“We will resume discussions with Pfizer to obtain the vaccines that expire at the end of the month of July as soon as possible, so that we have sufficient time to vaccinate all groups established according to the national vaccination plan,” by which the PA hopes to achieve a 70% rate of immunity, Alkaila said.

At issue are 1.4 million unused Pfizer vaccines that Israel had purchased and whose due date is set to expire at the end of June, late July, and late August.

According to the agreement, the Palestinian Health Ministry would obtain the needed inoculations out of the 1.4 million Pfizer doses in Israel’s warehouses. The document stipulated, however, that the first batch must arrive in late May and early June. In the end, however, disagreements over details in the deal delayed its signing, and the expiration date was too close, Alkaila said.

“So we refused to receive it and returned it to the Israeli side,” she said.

Among the issue was Israel’s objection to the presence of the word “State of Palestine” in the signature of the Palestinian health minister, as well as an attempt to prevent the vaccines from going to the Gaza Strip, which was categorically rejected by the Health Ministry, she explained.

Alkaila said that the responsibility of the Health Ministry includes all the Palestinian people. “We confirmed that we will send the doses to anywhere, and no one imposes his will on this issue,” she said.

Talks continued with Israel until the end of last week, when Pfizer intervened and confirmed “that we have the right to distributing vaccines in the way we see fit, and canceling the Israeli condition for the Gaza Strip, and accordingly we agreed last Thursday to complete the agreement and it was signed,” Alkaila told WAFA.

The PA has signed an agreement with Pfizer to purchase 4,140 million doses at a price of $6.75 per dose, she said, and that “the PA was the only country in the world that was able to obtain this offer.”

The first delivery of 205,920 doses was scheduled for April, May and June, at a rate of 20,000 doses per week, she told WAFA. The second batch of 1,795,000 doses was supposed to arrive in July, August and September. The third batch of about two million doses is set for the last three months of the year, Alkaila said, but that delays were expected due to global demand, and vaccines were not due until the fall.

The absence of the vaccines would have impacted the start of school and university in the fall, she said.

Under pressure from the Palestinian Health Ministry and through international friends, Pfizer proposed a swap in which the Israeli vaccines would go to the PA, and when the fall vaccines arrived they would be sent to Israel for use on its citizens, she said.

There was a direct communication channel with the Israeli side supervised by the spokesman for the Health Ministry, Kamal Al-Shakhra, with the approval of the Palestinian president and prime minister, she said.

In addition, the health minister said her office has signed several agreements with vaccine manufacturers, including Sputnik, which was contracted to purchase 500,000 doses, but the delivery dates often change because of the huge demand for vaccines worldwide.

大多數美國人支持禁止以色列使用美國資金吞併土地-民意調查

該民意調查是在 5 月 12 日至 25 日通過網絡小組進行的，這一時期與以色列和哈馬斯最近在加沙地帶爆發的暴力事件大致相符。

作者：RON KAMPEAS/JTA

2021 年 6 月 19 日 05:24

2015 年，本傑明·內塔尼亞胡總理在華盛頓舉行的美國以色列公共事務委員會 (AIPAC) 政策會議上發表講話。

（圖片來源：路透社）

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（JTA）——根據最近進行的一項新民意調查的結果，大多數美國選民支持限制以色列花費美國國防援助來拘留巴勒斯坦未成年人、摧毀巴勒斯坦建築物或吞併約旦河西岸的部分地區。以色列-加沙沖突。

這項民意調查由進步民意調查公司 Data for Progress 進行，旨在就一個日益分化民主黨立法者的問題收集公眾意見：如果以色列不滿足某些條件，美國是否應該停止對以色列的援助。多年來，這種觀點一直被認為是政治家的禁區，但隨著民主黨中進步左翼的崛起，這種觀點最近發生了變化。

當被問及他們是否會支持或反對一項“阻止以色列將美國納稅人的錢花在：軍事拘留巴勒斯坦兒童；扣押或毀壞巴勒斯坦人的財產和家園；或者，支持以色列吞併巴勒斯坦領土，”民意調查顯示，55% 的受訪者表示會支持，29% 的受訪者表示會反對。

民主黨人更傾向於限制援助。按政黨劃分，72% 的民主黨人、57% 的獨立人士和 36% 的共和黨人支持該法案。

民意調查問題中提到的是來自明尼蘇達州的民主黨眾議員貝蒂麥科勒姆 4 月份提出的一項法案，該法案迄今為止已在美國眾議院獲得 27 名民主黨共同提案國。麥科勒姆的法案要求國務院和總審計署向國會報告以色列如何花費美國援助，但沒有執行機制來確保合規。兩個主要的自由派親以色列團體 J Street 和美國人爭取和平現在支持該法案。

該民意調查是在 5 月 12 日至 25 日通過網絡小組進行的，這一時期與以色列和哈馬斯最近在加沙地帶爆發的暴力事件大致相符。該調查涉及 2,100 名可能的選民，誤差幅度為 2 個百分點。

Most Americans back banning Israel to use US funds to annex land - poll

The poll was conducted through a web panel from May 12-25, a period roughly consistent with the most recent flareup of violence between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.

By RON KAMPEAS/JTA

JUNE 19, 2021 05:24

PRIME MINISTER Benjamin Netanyahu addresses the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) policy conference in Washington in 2015.

(photo credit: REUTERS)

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(JTA) — A majority of US voters endorsed restrictions that would keep Israel from spending US defense assistance to detain Palestinian minors, destroy Palestinian buildings, or annex parts of the West Bank, according to the results of a new poll conducted during the most recent Israel-Gaza conflict.

The poll, conducted by Data for Progress, a progressive polling firm, sought to capture public opinion on a question that is increasingly dividing Democratic lawmakers: whether US aid to Israel should be withheld if Israel does not meet certain conditions. For many years, that opinion has been considered off-limits for politicians, but that has shifted recently with the rise of a progressive left in the Democratic Party.

Asked whether they would support or oppose a bill that “would stop Israel from spending US taxpayer dollars on: the military detention of Palestinian children; the seizure or destruction of Palestinian property and homes; or, support for Israel’s annexation of Palestinian territory,” 55% of respondents said they would support it and 29% said they would oppose it, according to the poll.

Democrats were far more inclined to restrict the aid. Broken down by party, 72% of Democrats, 57% of Independents, and 36% of Republicans supported the bill.

The reference in the poll question is to a bill introduced in April by Rep. Betty McCollum, a Democrat from Minnesota, that so far has garnered 27 Democratic cosponsors in the US House of Representatives. McCollum’s bill requires State Department and General Accounting Office reports to Congress on how Israel spends US assistance but has no enforcement mechanisms to ensure compliance. Two major liberal pro-Israel groups, J Street and Americans for Peace Now, back the bill.

The poll was conducted through a web panel from May 12-25, a period roughly consistent with the most recent flareup of violence between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. The survey reached 2,100 likely voters and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

認識獲准在世界各地擔任新職位的 36 位新大使

MK Emilie Moatti 在推特上對新任命的人表示祝賀，稱前總理本傑明內塔尼亞胡一直將他們視為“政治人質”。

通過LAHAV哈爾科夫

2021 年 6 月 20 日 21:07

2021 年 6 月 14 日，外交部長兼候補總理亞伊爾·拉皮德 (Yair Lapid) 接受其前任加比·阿什肯納茲 (Gabi Ashkenazi) 的新職務。

（圖片來源：外交部）

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內閣週日投票贊成任命 36 位專業的大使和總領事，他們將派往世界各地。

週日早些時候，外交部任命部長級委員會批准了在泰國、瑞典、梵蒂岡、塞內加爾、巴拿馬、布魯塞爾、日本等歐盟機構擔任高級職位的外交官。

上屆政府的外交任命被推遲了六個月，並在本月早些時候成為訴訟的主題。

總理納夫塔利·貝內特說，“這件事被困了很長時間”，外交部長亞伊爾·拉皮德“打開了交通堵塞，我們正在路上”。

拉皮德說：“我們今天授權的任命等了太久。以色列國需要最優秀的人來為其在世界上的名聲而戰。這些是以色列最優秀的專業人士，他們是加強以色列的重要和關鍵部分外交和安全地位。”

MK Emilie Moatti 在推特上對新任命的人表示祝賀，稱前總理本傑明內塔尼亞胡一直將他們視為“政治人質”。

她說，內塔尼亞胡“阻止了政府的批准，同時不僅忽視了被任命者的專業需求……還有他們需要為搬家做準備的合作夥伴，他們的孩子需要學習語言和入學以及構成世界各地代表以色列的家庭生活的無數其他細節。”

後

任命包括：

1. 以色列駐愛爾蘭大使 Liron Bar-Sade

2. 以色列駐南非大使和以色列駐毛里求斯、萊索托和斯威士蘭

非常駐大使 Eli Belotserkovsky 3. 以色列駐芝加哥總領事 Yinam Cohen，美國

4. Haim Regev，以色列常駐歐盟和北約比利時布魯塞爾代表團團長

5. Maor Elbaz Starinsky，以色列駐美國邁阿密總領事

6. Daniel Zohar-Zonshine，以色列駐巴西大使

7. Oren Anolik , 以色列駐塞浦路斯大使

8.以色列駐葡萄牙大使 Dor Shapira

9.

以色列駐日本大使 Gilad Cohen 10. 以色列駐約旦大使 Eitan Sorkis

11.

以色列駐波蘭大使 Yacov Livne 12. 以色列駐烏克蘭大使 Michael Brodsky

13. 以色列駐丹麥大使 David Akov

14. 以色列駐洪都拉斯大使 Eldad Golan Rosenberg

15. 以色列駐泰國大使 Orna Sagiv - 駐柬埔寨常駐大使

16. 以色列駐瑞典大使 Ziv-Nevo Kulman

17. 以色列駐瑞士大使和以色列駐列支敦士登非常駐大使 Ifat Reshef

18. 以色列駐梵蒂岡大使 Raphael Schutz

19. Shlomit Sufa，以色列駐加納大使和以色列駐利比里亞和塞拉利昂非居民大使

20. Ben Burgel，以色列駐塞內加爾大使和以色列駐幾內亞比紹、幾內亞孔卡里、岡比亞和佛得角的非常

駐大使 21. Itai Bar Dov，以色列駐巴拿馬大使

22. Amir Lati，以色列駐香港總領事Kong 和以色列駐澳門

總領事 23. Kobi Shoshani，以色列駐印度孟買

總領事 24. Paul Hirschson，以色列駐加拿大蒙特利爾

總領事 25. Rafi Erdreich，以色列駐巴西聖保羅總領事

26. 以色列駐菲律賓大使 Ilan Fluss

27.以色列駐南蘇丹非常駐大使 Gershon Kedar

28. 以色列駐馬其頓北部非常駐大使 Simona Frankel

29. 以色列駐納米比亞、博茨瓦納、津巴布韋和讚比亞的非常駐大使 Ofra Farhi

30. 以色列駐德國慕尼黑總領事 Carmela Shamir

31. 以色列駐加拿大多倫多總領事 Idit Shamir

32. Livia Link-

Raviv，以色列駐美國休斯頓總領事33. Naor Gilon，以色列駐印度大使，非常駐斯里蘭卡和不丹

大使 34. Anna Azari，以色列駐捷克共和國大使

35. Uri Resnick，以色列總領事在俄羅斯聖彼得堡

36. Mattanya Cohen，以色列駐薩爾瓦多非常駐大使，除擔任以色列駐危地馬拉大使外

Meet the 36 new ambassadors approved to new posts around the world

MK Emilie Moatti congratulated the new appointees on Twitter, saying that former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu had been holding them as "political hostages."

By LAHAV HARKOV

JUNE 20, 2021 21:07

Foreign Minister and alternate Prime MInister Yair Lapid accepts his new role from his predecessor, Gabi Ashkenazi, June 14, 2021.

(photo credit: MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS)

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The cabinet voted Sunday in favor of 36 professional appointments of ambassadors and consuls-general to be posted around the world.

Earlier Sunday, the Ministerial Committee for Foreign Service Appointments approved the diplomats for the top positions in Thailand, Sweden, the Vatican, Senegal, Panama, EU institutions in Brussels, Japan and more.

The diplomatic appointments had been delayed by six months in the previous government, and was the subject of a lawsuit earlier this month.

Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said that "this is something that was stuck for a long time," and that Foreign Minister Yair Lapid "opened up the traffic jam, and we are on our way."

Lapid said, "the appointments we authorized today waited too long. The State of Israel needs the best people to fight for its good name in the world. These are some of the best professionals in Israel who are a significant and critical part of strengthening Israel's diplomatic and security status."

MK Emilie Moatti congratulated the new appointees on Twitter, saying that former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu had been holding them as "political hostages."

She said that Netanyahu "blocked the approval in the government, while ignoring not only the professional needs of the appointees… but also of their partners who needed to prepare for the move, their children who need to learn a language and enroll in schools and countless other details that make up the lives of the families that represent Israel around the world."

The appointments include:

1. Liron Bar-Sade, Israeli Ambassador to Ireland

2. Eli Belotserkovsky, Israeli Ambassador to South Africa and Non-Resident Ambassador of Israel to Mauritius, Lesotho and Swaziland

3. Yinam Cohen, Consul General of Israel in Chicago, USA

4. Haim Regev, Head of Israel's Permanent Delegation to the European Union and NATO in Brussels, Belgium

5. Maor Elbaz Starinsky, Consul General of Israel in Miami, USA

6. Daniel Zohar-Zonshine, Israeli Ambassador to Brazil

7. Oren Anolik, Israeli Ambassador to Cyprus

8. Dor Shapira, Ambassador of Israel to Portugal

9. Gilad Cohen, Ambassador of Israel to Japan

10. Eitan Sorkis, Israeli Ambassador to Jordan

11. Yacov Livne, Ambassador of Israel to Poland

12. Michael Brodsky, Israeli Ambassador to Ukraine

13. David Akov, Israeli Ambassador to Denmark

14. Eldad Golan Rosenberg, Israeli Ambassador to Honduras

15. Orna Sagiv, Israeli Ambassador to Thailand and Israel's non-resident Ambassador to Cambodia

16. Ziv-Nevo Kulman, Israeli Ambassador to Sweden

17. Ifat Reshef, Israeli Ambassador to Switzerland and Non-Resident Ambassador of Israel to Liechtenstein

18. Raphael Schutz, Israeli Ambassador to the Vatican

19. Shlomit Sufa, Israeli Ambassador to Ghana and a non-resident Israeli Ambassador to Liberia and Sierra Leone

20. Ben Burgel, Israeli Ambassador to Senegal and Non-Resident Ambassador of Israel to Guinea-Bissau, Guinea Concari, Gambia and Cape Verde

21. Itai Bar Dov, Ambassador of Israel to Panama

22. Amir Lati, Consul General of Israel in Hong Kong and Consul General of Israel not resident in Macau

23. Kobi Shoshani, Consul General of Israel in Mumbai, India

24. Paul Hirschson, Consul General of Israel in Montreal, Canada

25. Rafi Erdreich, Consul General of Israel in São Paulo, Brazil

26. Ilan Fluss, Israeli Ambassador to the Philippines

27. Gershon Kedar, a non-resident ambassador of Israel to South Sudan

28. Simona Frankel, Israel's non-resident ambassador to northern Macedonia

29. Ofra Farhi, Israel's non-resident ambassador to Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, and Zambia

30. Carmela Shamir, Consul General of Israel in Munich, Germany

31. Idit Shamir, Consul General of Israel to Toronto, Canada

32. Livia Link-Raviv, Consul General of Israel in Houston, United States

33. Naor Gilon, Israeli Ambassador to India, Non-Resident Ambassador to Sri Lanka and Bhutan

34. Anna Azari, Israeli Ambassador to the Czech Republic

35. Uri Resnick, Consul General of Israel in St. Petersburg, Russia

36. Mattanya Cohen, Israel's non-resident ambassador to El Salvador, in addition to his tenure as Israel's ambassador to Guatemala

內塔尼亞胡的頂級利庫德集團：“他犯了所有可能的錯誤”

“為什麼他同意讓吉迪恩、貝內特、甘茨和其他所有人擔任總理的角色，就這樣他就不能把它交給利庫德集團的其他任何人？” 埃德爾斯坦問道。

通過耶路撒冷郵報STAFF

2021 年 6 月 20 日 22:15

在公開場合，利庫德集團 (Likud MK) 和前衛生部長尤利·埃德爾斯坦 (Yuli Edelstein) 對他參加下一屆利庫德集團 (Likud Party) 初選的決定保持相當沉默。

然而，根據Kan News週日發布的一系列洩露對話，他私下告訴其他高級利庫德集團成員，他打算獲勝，並且沒有對他的黨的領導人和前總理本傑明內塔尼亞胡說任何嚴厲的話。晚上。

在其中一次談話中，埃德爾斯坦說：“我不想抹黑太多。我不打算在名單上排第二。我打算贏，”並補充說，如果現任政府開始動搖，那將是很難面對內塔尼亞胡。

據報導，埃德爾斯坦對他宣布的初選的反應感到驚喜，他說：“我確信他們會攻擊我，但我驚訝地發現，無論我走到哪裡，人們一直說是時候取代內塔尼亞胡了。”

他繼續嚴厲批評內塔尼亞胡的行為，稱“他犯了所有可能的錯誤”。

在談話中，埃德爾斯坦對內塔尼亞胡不會在聯盟談判期間辭職以允許另一個利庫德集團 MK 組成一個意識形態更加統一的聯盟表示失望。

“他為什麼同意讓[新希望黨領袖]吉迪恩[薩爾]、[亞米納領袖納夫塔利]貝內特、[藍白黨領袖本尼]甘茨和其他所有人擔任總理的角色，就這樣他不能給“利庫德集團為什麼要失去權力？” 他問。

埃德爾斯坦後來對內塔尼亞胡周圍的輿論會發生變化表示樂觀，他說“幾週後，人們會打開電視並註意到 [內塔尼亞胡] 不是總理，這種認識會打擊他們，他們會告訴他真相當著他的面。”

上週，內塔尼亞胡在面臨利庫德集團秘書處負責人 MK Israel Katz 和利庫德集團中央委員會主席 MK Haim Katz 的強烈反對後，未能在利庫德集團領導初選中升職，他們都表示強烈反對這一想法。

以色列卡茨說，在失去權力後，該黨需要一段沒有內部鬥爭的穩定時期。

海姆·卡茨說：“比比 [內塔尼亞胡] 以較大優勢被選為我們接下來四年半的領導人，沒有人挑戰這一點。那麼為什麼我們現在需要初選呢？我們現在需要比比領導反對派並推翻這個政府。”

以色列卡茨說，他也反對推進初選，因為隨著他的刑事審判的進展，內塔尼亞胡以後可能會更加脆弱。

以色列卡茨上個月向內塔尼亞胡建議，他暫時放棄利庫德集團的領導權，以允許組建右翼政府，內塔尼亞胡徹底拒絕了這一提議。

Top Likud MK on Netanyahu: 'He made all the possible mistakes'

"Why did he agree to give Gideon, Bennett, Gantz and everyone else the role of prime minister, just so he could not give it to anyone else in the Likud?" Edelstein asked.

By JERUSALEM POST STAFF

JUNE 20, 2021 22:15

While in public, Likud MK and former health minister Yuli Edelstein has kept fairly quiet regarding his decision to run in the next Likud Party primary.

In private, however, he has told other high ranking Likud members that he intends on winning and didn't spare any harsh words for his party leader and former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, according to a series of leaked conversations published by Kan News on Sunday evening.

During one of the conversations, Edelstein said, "I do not want to smear it much. I do not intend to be second on the list. I intend to win," and adding that if the current government starts to falter, it will be difficult to face Netanyahu.

Edelstein was reportedly pleasantly surprised by the reaction to his announced primary run, saying "I was sure they would attack me, but I was surprised to find that no matter where I went, people kept saying it was time to replace Netanyahu."

He continued to heavily criticize Netanyahu's conduct, saying that "He made all the possible mistakes."

During the conversations, Edelstein exhibited frustration that Netanyahu would not resign during the coalition negotiations to allow another Likud MK to form a more ideologically homogenous coalition.

"Why did he agree to give [New Hope leader] Gideon [Sa'ar], [Yamina leader Naftali] Bennett, [Blue and White leader Benny] Gantz and everyone else the role of prime minister, just so he could not give it to anyone else in the Likud? Why should the Likud lose power?" He asked.

Edelstein later expressed optimism that public opinion around Netanyahu will change, saying that "in a couple of weeks people will turn on the TV and notice that [Netanyahu] is not prime minister, the realization will hit them, and they will tell him the truth to his face."

Last week, Netanyahu failed in his attempts to move up the Likud leadership primary after facing heated opposition from Likud secretariat head MK Israel Katz and Likud Central Committee head MK Haim Katz, who both said they strongly oppose the idea.

Right after losing power, the party needs a period of stability without internal fights, Israel Katz said.

Haim Katz said that “Bibi [Netanyahu] was chosen by a wide margin to be our leader for the next four and a half years, and no one is challenging that. So why would we need to have primaries now? We need Bibi to lead the opposition now and bring down this government.”

Israel Katz said he also opposes advancing the primary because Netanyahu could be more vulnerable later on, as his criminal trial advances.

Israel Katz last month suggested to Netanyahu that he temporarily relinquish leadership of Likud in order to allow for the formation of a right-wing government, an offer which Netanyahu rejected outright.

波音公司為 F-15 運營商選擇 Elbit 抗干擾系統

它為多個衛星頻道提供完全抗干擾能力，並處理在並發頻率上運行的多個乾擾信號。

作者：安娜·阿羅海姆

2021 年 6 月 20 日 18:12

一架波音 707 在空中為三架 F-15 鷹加油

（照片來源：YONATAN ZALK / IAF）

這家航空航天巨頭週日在一份新聞稿中表示，Elbit Systems 的 iSNS 干擾系統將集成到一家未具名運營商的波音 F-15戰鬥機機隊中。

“在對類似系統進行仔細評估後，Elbit Systems 的解決方案因其經過驗證的性能和易於集成而被選中，”波音公司國際 F-15 項目主管 Lauren Gramlich 被引述說。“Elbit 的 iSNS 抗干擾系統將滿足這位尊貴客戶苛刻的操作要求，這表明波音公司致力於與以色列工業合作，以提高F-15 平台的能力。”

iSNS（免疫衛星導航系統）由以色列的 Elbit Systems 開發和製造。它是一種有效的 GPS 電子對抗系統 (ECCS)，可確保可靠且不間斷的 GPS 操作。由以色列 Elbit Systems 開發和製造的 iSNS（免疫衛星導航系統）是一種有效的 ECCM GPS 電子對抗系統，可確保 GPS 的可靠和不間斷運行。

新聞稿稱，它為多個衛星頻道提供完全的抗干擾能力，並處理在並發頻率上運行的多個乾擾信號。

Elbit Systems iSNS 干擾系統。（埃爾比特系統）

該模塊化系統設計用於各種陸地、空中和海上應用，包括裝甲戰車、火砲 C4I 系統、無人機系統、戰鬥機和海軍艦艇（如潛艇）。與其他系統不同，該平台可以在靠近敵方乾擾機時持續導航。

“我們很榮幸被波音選中為 F-15 平台提供我們獨特的 iSNS 技術，”埃爾比特系統 ISTAR 和 EW 執行副總裁兼聯席總經理埃德加邁蒙被引述說。“Elbit Systems 是波音公司的長期供應商，尤其是 F-15 計劃，滿足質量、交付時間和成本要求。二十多年來，F-15 一直是我們產品組合中的主要平台，我們期待未來繼續與波音公司合作。”

波音公司的 F-15 計劃是美國、以色列和其他空軍空中優勢的基石。幾十年來，它的能力、航程和有效載荷能力都有所增長。

以色列的大部分 F-15 是在 1970 年代後半期購買的，一個更先進的中隊在 1990 年代抵達以色列。

為了應對中東日益增加的威脅，印度空軍預計很快將訂購幾架新飛機，以升級其老化的中隊，其中包括波音公司的新型 F-15IA。

去年 7 月，美國空軍與波音公司簽訂了一份合同，將建造多達 200 架名為 F-15EX 的新型 F-15。首架新型 F-15EX 於 4 月 7 日由空軍正式亮相，並將命名為鷹 II。

F-15X 將有兩個版本，單座 F-15CX 和雙座 F-15EX，能夠攜帶比當前 F-15X 更重的空對地和空對空導彈-15 秒。

在 F-15 和 F-15EX 平台上使用的其他 Elbit Systems 技術包括數字頭盔安裝提示系統、低調平視顯示器和大面積駕駛艙顯示器以及各種結構元素。

“70 多年來，波音公司一直與以色列各地的公司合作，共同發展該國的航空航天、國防和技術產業，”格拉姆利希說。“我們致力於在未來幾十年擴大以色列的國防和技術能力。”

Boeing selects Elbit anti-jamming system for an F-15 operator

It provides full jamming immunity for multiple satellite channels and handles multiple interfering signals operating on concurrent frequencies.

By ANNA AHRONHEIM

JUNE 20, 2021 18:12

A Boeing 707 aerially refuels three F-15 Eagles

(photo credit: YONATAN ZALK / IAF)

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Elbit Systems’s iSNS jamming system will be integrated into a fleet of Boeing F-15 fighter jets of an unnamed operator, the aerospace giant said Sunday in a press release.

“After careful evaluation of similar systems, Elbit Systems’s solution was selected due to its proven performance and ease of integration,” Lauren Gramlich, Boeing’s director of international F-15 programs, was quoted as saying. “Elbit’s iSNS anti-jamming system will meet the demanding operational requirements of this valued customer, and it demonstrates Boeing’s commitment to partner with Israeli industry to advance the capabilities of the F-15 platform.”

The iSNS (Immune Satellite Navigation System) was developed and is manufactured by Elbit Systems in Israel. It is an effective GPS electronic counter countermeasure system (ECCS) that ensures reliable and uninterrupted GPS operation. Developed and manufactured by Elbit Systems in Israel, the iSNS – Immune Satellite Navigation System –is an effective ECCM GPS electronic counter countermeasure system that ensures reliable and uninterrupted GPS operation.

It provides full jamming immunity for multiple satellite channels and handles multiple interfering signals operating on concurrent frequencies, the press release said.

Elbit Systems iSNS jamming system. (Elbit Systems)

The modular system is designed for use in a wide variety of land, air and sea applications, including armored fighting vehicles, artillery C4I systems, unmanned aerial systems, fighter aircraft and naval vessels such as submarines. Unlike other systems, the platform can continually navigate while close to enemy jammers.

“We are proud to be selected by Boeing to supply our unique iSNS technology for the F-15 platform,” Edgar Maimon, executive vice president and co-general manager of Elbit Systems ISTAR and EW, was quoted as saying. “Elbit Systems is a long-term supplier of Boeing, especially for the F-15 program, meeting quality, delivery time and cost requirements. F-15 has been a major platform in our portfolio for over two decades, and we look forward to continuing our collaborative work with Boeing in the future.”

Boeing’s F-15 program serves as the cornerstone of air superiority for the US, Israel and other air forces. It has grown in capabilities, range and payload capacities over the decades.

Most of Israel’s F-15s were acquired in the second half of the 1970s, and a more advanced squadron arrived in Israel in the 1990s.

With a need to keep ahead of increased threats in the Middle East, the IAF is expected to soon place orders on several new aircraft to upgrade its aging squadrons, including a new model of the F-15IA from Boeing.

Last July, the US Air Force awarded a contract to Boeing to build as many as 200 new F-15s under the designation F-15EX. The first new F-15EX was officially unveiled by the Air Force on April 7 and will carry the name Eagle II.

The F-15X will come in two versions, a single-seat F-15CX and a twin-seat F-15EX, and be able to carry heavier loads of air-to-ground and air-to-air missiles than the current F-15s.

Other Elbit Systems technologies in use on the F-15 and F-15EX platforms include the Digital Helmet Mounted Cueing System, the Low-Profile Head Up Display and Large Area Cockpit Display and various structural elements.

“For more than 70 years, Boeing has partnered with companies across Israel in growing the country’s aerospace, defense and technology industries,” Gramlich said. “We are committed to expanding Israel’s defense and technological capabilities for decades to come.”

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