Last month's fifty-point hike in the base rate of interest is being considered a “rush of blood to the head” that came because of the headline rate of inflation in May remaining unchanged.
Using the same logic, the market expects the MPC to revert to its staid policy of twenty-five-point hikes that have become its “staple offering” for almost the entire period of its current rate hike cycle.
The meeting, which takes place next Thursday will be the first since Silvana Tenreyro completed her stint as a member, and it is unlikely that her “ultra-hawkish” views on inflation will be continued by her replacement, Megan Greene.
Greene who will bring a wealth of international economic experience to the role will take time to bed into the role just as her predecessors have.
With Michael Saunders having left almost a year ago and Tenreyro having just left, the MPC has been shorn of two economists who believed that rates would have risen faster in response to the factors that were driving inflation.
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