Futures Research Unpacked

#28 - The University Foresight Network


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Have you ever wondered if "predicting the future" can actually be taught in a classroom, or if every futurist is just making it up as they go? For an emerging discipline, the lack of a standardized curriculum can often feel like a barrier to professional legitimacy. This episode explores the efforts of the University Foresight Network to uncover the shared foundations beneath diverse academic approaches to foresight and strategic planning [1, 2].

In this paper, Peter Bishop details a collaborative investigation involving five major global programs—including the well-known "Manoa School" in Hawaii and the University of Houston—to determine if they are teaching a common core [3, 4]. While each program brings its own unique flavor, from experiential artifacts to philosophically explicit lists, the study uncovers a surprising level of consensus on the essential theories, frameworks, and methods that prepare students for careers in the field [2, 5].

Establishing this common ground is more than just an academic exercise; it is a vital step toward the credibility and accreditation of the foresight profession [6]. By documenting these shared concepts, methods, and professional skills, the work provides a blueprint for how a nascent field matures into a recognized discipline with sound principles [6].

  • Finding a "Common Core": Despite different institutional backgrounds, academic foresight programs share a high degree of overlap in their underlying concepts and logical processes [2, 5].
  • The Houston vs. Hawaii Comparison: A deep dive into two of the oldest programs shows that while one may be more explicit and the other more implicit, both cover the same fundamental ground in systems thinking and social change [5, 7, 8].
  • Qualitative Dominance: The study highlights that the heart of foresight remains in rigorous qualitative methods like scenario building and expert panels, designed specifically to anticipate discontinuous change [9].
  • Path to Professionalism: The research suggests that a common set of concepts is essential for the long-term credibility and social legitimacy of the foresight discipline [6].
  • Tune in to discover how the experts are building the blueprint for tomorrow's foresight education.

    Ref:
    Peter Bishop. The University Foresight Network: The Search for Common Ground among Foresight Educators. World Future Review, 8(1), 2016, 6–11. https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756715627371

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    Futures Research UnpackedBy Wensupu Yang