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#290 - THE KRUGER EFFECT


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Most people don’t lack confidence.

They lack awareness.


In this episode, I break down what’s often called the “Kruger Effect” — the dangerous illusion where low skill creates high certainty.


Why beginners feel like experts.

Why real professionals doubt themselves.

And why this gap can get you hurt — in training, in leadership, and in life.


We look at:

  • False confidence in survival and fighting
  • The gap between knowing about something and actually doing it
  • Why humility is not weakness — it’s awareness
  • How to avoid becoming the loudest fool in the room


This isn’t theory.

This is about reality checks.

Because in the real world…


overconfidence doesn’t just look stupid.

It costs.

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KAPTENS LOGGBy Tommy Alfredsson