The DIY Investing Podcast

30 - GameStop stock investment post-mortem (2017-2019)


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Mental Models discussed in this podcast:
  • Zero Based Thinking
  • Resulting
    • Check out Annie Duke's book "Thinking in Bets" to learn more
  • Skin in the Game
    • Check out Nassim Taleb's book "Skin in the Game" to learn more
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GameStop Stock Investment Post-mortem - Show Outline

The full show notes for this episode are available at https://www.diyinvesting.org/Episode30

Initial Buy Thesis
  • Dividend yield exceeds 10%
  • Dividend is sustainable
  • Check out Episode 5 of the podcast to learn more
Investment Results
  • Loss of 50-55% of the principal invested in GameStop stock
Investment Process
  • Was my Buy Thesis correct?
  • Root Cause of my Investment mistakes
  • Was my Sell Thesis correct?
  • I did not sell solely because the dividend was eliminated
  • Free cash flow from declining businesses ought to be distributed to shareholders
Conclusion
  • My bad process led to bad results in this case
  • Could have been better or worse
Lessons Learned Investment Rules
  1. Never buy a retail company with declining revenue
  2. Never buy a physical retail company with debt on its balance sheet (If they lease their locations)
  3. Do not hold onto a stock once you know your investment thesis is wrong
  4. Prioritize investing in companies where management has skin in the game
Red Flags
  1. A combination of large stock price declines without insider buying or stock buybacks
  2. Non-investors you talk to think the company will be a bad investment
References:
  • Investing Rules - How I limit investing mistakes
...more
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The DIY Investing PodcastBy Trey Henninger

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