There's always next year, right? As the Red Sox join the Orioles around the bottom of the AL East, Pesach Wolicki uses Win Probability Added (WPA) to argue that something is seriously messed up with Boston's starting pitching... but the Reds, with an almost identical record, might start to surprise a lot of people despite last year's pitching disasters. Meanwhile, Scott Kahn investigates the (possibly) tragic career of Dick Allen, who, in a fairer world, might have been Willie Mays.