The Daily Drive

323. Expected Value Mindset


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🎙️ The “Expected Value” Mindset


Most athletes judge decisions based on results. But smart performers think in probabilities—not just outcomes. In this episode, we break down the expected value (EV) mindset: a mental model that separates short-term randomness from long-term intelligence. You’ll learn how to make better decisions by focusing on process, probability, and payoff—rather than getting emotionally hijacked by what “worked.” Great decision-making isn’t about being right once. It’s about stacking the odds to win over time.

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The Daily DriveBy Austin Merrill