Risk Pearls of Wisdom

4.3 Cassandra and the false positive boogie


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The current narrative around covid-19 false positives mixes conflicts the narrative around the prediction of infection rates with the mathematical certainty of false positives.  This episode provides a non-mathematical explanation of false positives and point out that this is beyond dispute.  False positives don't lie, but the narrative and subsequent name-calling does. 

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Risk Pearls of WisdomBy Risk Pearls of Wisdom