The DIY Investing Podcast

43 - Investing in Credit Card Companies (V, MA, AXP, DFS)


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Mental Models discussed in this podcast:
  • Credit
  • Rent-Seeking
  • Networking Effects
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Show Outline: Credit Card Company Investing

The full show notes for this episode are available at https://www.diyinvesting.org/Episode43

Four Major Credit Card Companies
  • Visa (V) - payment processor
  • Mastercard (MA) - payment processor
  • American Express (AXP) - payment processor and bank (high-end focus)
  • Discover Financial (DFS) - payment processor and bank
The Business Model of Credit Card Companies
  • Take a cut of all transactions on the payment network
  • Credit risk vs no credit risk
  • Payment processor
    • Extremely valuable service to the marketplace
Quality of the business:
  • Extremely high for Visa and Mastercard
  • Quite high for American Express and Discover as well
  • Automatically inflation-adjusted sales growth
Potential Threats
  • Overvaluation (particularly for Visa and Mastercard)
  • New payment mechanisms such as digital currency like bitcoin
  • A resurgence in cash (unlikely)
Summary

Investing in credit card companies is an extremely attractive proposition. They are some of the highest quality companies in the world with clear inflation-adjusted growth.

References
  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Card_scheme
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The DIY Investing PodcastBy Trey Henninger

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