Punt Pals Podcast

63 | Round 21 Tips, Trust, Don't Trust


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In this episode of the Punt Pals podcast, Robbie and Nick delve into the upcoming AFL round, analyzing matchups, identifying betting value, and discussing trusters and don't trusters for each game. They explore various teams' performances, odds, and potential outcomes, providing insights for punters looking to make informed bets. The conversation covers key matchups including the Doggies vs Giants, Crows vs Hawks, and the Grand Final replay between the Pies and Lions, among others.


  • This round is full of value for punters.
  • The Giants present significant betting value against the Doggies.
  • Crows are tough to beat at home, especially against the Hawks.
  • Melbourne is favored to win, but West Coast could surprise.
  • Historical matchups can influence betting decisions, as seen with the Suns and Richmond.
  • Sydney has been a bogey team for Essendon, complicating predictions.
  • The Lions' odds seem skewed given their recent performances.
  • St Kilda's inconsistency makes them hard to trust.
  • Port Adelaide's poor form raises questions about their odds against the Cats.
  • Fremantle is in good form and should capitalize on their matchup against the Blues.


00:00 Introduction to the Round Ahead

02:58 Analyzing the Doggies vs Giants Matchup

05:43 Crows vs Hawks: Trusters and Don't Trusters

08:53 Melbourne vs West Coast: Betting Insights

11:46 Richmond vs Suns: Historical Context and Predictions

14:23 Sydney vs Essendon: A Clash of Struggles

17:25 Grand Final Replay: Pies vs Lions

20:09 Saints vs Roos: Trust Issues

23:24 Cats vs Port: Skewed Odds

26:22 Fremantle vs Blues: Final Thoughts

...more
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