The past two seasons, I have written an 8-part divisional series piece titled “Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer”.  As we approach the 2020 season, it’s time for the third annual installment of this series.

In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify two guys I am buying, two I’m selling, and a flyer off each team. Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of your drafts and in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.

We continue the 2020 “Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer” Series with the AFC West.

Denver Broncos

DENVER, CO – DECEMBER 29: Quarterback Drew Lock #3 of the Denver Broncos throws a pass against the Oakland Raiders during the first quarter at Empower Field at Mile High on December 29, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. The Broncos defeated the Raiders 16-15. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) 2020 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC West

Two Players I Am Buying

Drew Lock – Overall ADP 166 QB22

Drew Lock was my number two ranked rookie QB a year ago. Needless to say I am a believer. The future is now in Denver as Lock took the reins of the starting job over the last five weeks of the season. While there is some obvious growing room, he looked more than capable as a starter showing some chemistry with Courtland Sutton.

Entering 2020, the Broncos have added weapons for their 2nd year QB. Lock has some hype surrounding his fantasy outlook this year if free-agent signing Melvin Gordon, rookies Jerry Jeudy, and KJ Hamler, as well as TE Noah Fant help him take a step forward. The biggest add this offseason to me is Pat Shurmur as the team’s Offensive Coordinator. Shurmur got production out of rookie Daniel Jones a year ago and recently led QBs Sam Bradford and Case Keenum to career best seasons. This could be a top-half offense if things break right, and with an ADP listing Lock as undrafted I will be buying all day long.

Jerry Jeudy – Overall ADP 112 WR43

The Broncos added Jerry Jeudy with the 15th selection in the recent NFL draft. Even with the talented Courtland Sutton on the roster, the Broncos couldn’t resist picking Jeudy. While I am concerned with the rookie class in general getting off to a slow start, Jeudy should see plenty of snaps right out of the gate.

Knowing Shurmur’s offense and the opportunity it provides multiple WRs, the vision of Sutton and Jeudy being Diggs and Thielen 2.0 is too tantalizing to pass up. In the ninth round, this is an easy buy for me.

Two Players I Am Selling

Courtland Sutton – Overall ADP 47 WR19

This annual exercise always paints me into a corner where I have to label a player I like a lot as a sell. That is exactly what is happening here in terms of Courtland Sutton.

In 2019, Sutton topped 1,100 yards on 124 targets and finished as WR19, matching his current ADP. With the maturation of TE Noah Fant and the additions of Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler and Melvin Gordon, Sutton should be be less of a focus in this offense. I see Sutton sliding back into the back of WR2 country this season, and as a result he is a reluctant sell.

Melvin Gordon – Overall ADP 37 RB19

In 2019, after an ill-advised holdout, Melvin Gordon had his worst statistical season since his rookie year. That didn’t stop his former division rival Broncos from offering Gordon a 2-year dea...