The past two seasons, I have written an 8-part divisional series piece titled “Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer”.  As we approach the 2020 season, it’s time for the third annual installment of this series.

In these 8 articles, I utilized ADP to identify two guys I am buying, two I’m selling, and a flyer off each team. Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP. As for the flyer, these are gut feels on players deeper down in ADP that you are likely selecting in the late rounds of your drafts and in some cases, guys you will find on your league’s waiver wires.

We continue the 2020 “Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer” Series with the AFC North.

Baltimore Ravens

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – NOVEMBER 03: Running back Mark Ingram II #21 of the Baltimore Ravens rushes past linebacker Elandon Roberts #52 of the New England Patriots during the fourth quarter at M&T Bank Stadium on November 3, 2019 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Todd Olszewski/Getty Images) 2020 Buy, Sell, Take the Flyer – AFC North

Two Players I Am Buying

Mark Ingram – Overall ADP 56 RB25

Mark Ingram surprised last season–his first in a Ravens uniform. He finished the season as RB11 with 242.5 PPR points. Ingram benefited from being in a backfield behind all-world QB Lamar Jackson. He leveraged 15 total touchdowns to return to the top-12 at RB for the first time since his 2017 RB6 season. Ingram scored a touchdown last season on every 15 touches. That TD pace seems impossible for Ingram to repeat, and naturally he will regress as a result.

Ingram will also have some increased competition for touches this season. The Ravens spent a 2nd round pick on J.K. Dobbins. I do believe that Ingram remains the top dog in Baltimore and that there is room for both Ingram and Dobbins to touch the football. I can not imagine the Ravens wanting Lamar Jackson running as often as he did a year ago, and the Ravens last season ran a league-high 16.9% out of their plays in 22 personnel (2 running backs, 2 tight ends, 1 wide receiver). Dobbins will have his day, but in redraft formats Mark Ingram remains the running back I target off the Baltimore Ravens.

Marquise Brown – Overall ADP 70 WR30

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown was the first wide receiver selected in the 2019 NFL Draft. The Ravens run heavy offense hurts his overall ceiling, but in his rookie season he showed his boom potential on any given week finishing with 7 TDs in 14 games.

Brown suffered an ankle sprain in Week 5, and only four times did he play in more than 70% of snaps in a game. If he’s healthy, he’s the clear top WR target in this Ravens offense. His boom/bust combo of a 2019 season concerns me as does his injury history, but I do feel the Ravens go to the air more in 2020, and Hollywood will lead the way. This all adds up to Brown beating his ADP of WR30 in his sophomore season.

Two Players I Am Selling

Lamar Jackson Overall ADP 21 QB1

Lamar Jackson was tremendous last season, blowing away every other fantasy QB by nearly 100 points. His 9.0 TD-rate is going to decline considerably,