The global economy is splitting in two. 🌍 We investigate the "Small Yard, High Fence" doctrine, the strategic brainchild of National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, designed to maintain US technological supremacy while avoiding a total economic decoupling from China.

1. The Strategy: We break down the core concept: limiting access to a small set of critical dual-use technologies (the "small yard")—like advanced semiconductors, AI chips, and quantum computing—with the strictest possible export controls (the "high fence"). It's a calculated move to freeze China's military modernization while keeping the rest of the global trade system intact.

2. The Target: What is the US afraid of? We analyze China's "Military-Civil Fusion" (MCF) strategy, which erases the line between civilian tech companies and the People's Liberation Army. By ensuring that any commercial innovation (like AI or space tech) directly feeds into military power, China has forced the US to treat tech exports as national security threats.

3. The Risk: Can you contain a giant without hurting yourself? We explore the dangers of this approach. Critics warn that the "high fence" is incentivizing China to accelerate its own indigenous chip industry, potentially creating a separate, rival tech ecosystem that the US can no longer control or monitor. If the fence gets too high, does it just create a more dangerous, independent adversary?