How does a quarantine affect public space?
Why aren’t there enough ICU beds?
Tim reflects on his experience designing hospitals to explain why the US healthcare infrastructure may be ill-equipped to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Spoiler alert: It’s far from anything resembling a free market.
This stress on the healthcare system has been used to justify unprecedented restrictions on the use of government-owned public space. How would private owners of public space manage infection risk in a stateless society?
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View full show notes at https://anarchitecturepodcast.com/ana029.
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Discussion
- Our recording schedule is a victim of daylight savings time
Tim’s history with healthcare infrastructurePeak vs. average capacityMyopic medical expertsTradeoffs between deaths from the virus and deaths from economoc destructionUnique challenges of the COVID-19; patients on ventilators and ICU for weeksThree constraintsStaffEquipment (Ventilators)“Flattening the curve” – is it effective? Is it worth the cost?Ratcheting up the surveillance state- The “Karen” busybody snitch phenomenon; a key ingredient of dystopian novels
Freedoms being suppressedFreedom to workFreedom of speechTransmission of the virus is most likely to occur in a public spaceQuarantine means you are prevented from using public spaceHow could a stateless society mitigate virus transmission risk?Private ownership of public space – recap of our theory- Public access should be preserved on privately owned public spaces
Quarantine conflicts with preservation of public accessGovernment owners do not bear liability to users; private owners doVirus transmission is similar to pollution emissions, however it increases risks to users of public spaceImposing a risk on others can be considered a form of aggression- What is the proportionate response?
Calculating the risk: “Go” x “Get” probabilities- Joe was the first in the office to self-isolate
Policymakers can’t control individual immune responses, but they can reduce transmission by closing public spacesOwners of public space bear a responsibility to maintain the safety of that space, and balance safety and usability- Grocery stores as owners of “permissive public space” have responded quickly and effectively
People are maintaining safe distances voluntarilyRequirement to wear face masks could be more effectiveCertificate of immunity – creepy under government, less so under decentralized private ownershipPublic forms of ownership allow for public decision making without creating power structuresDecentralized ownership allows experimentation and rapid discovery of effective responsesHistory of the USA’s “free market” healthcare system- Throughout human history, healthcare meant dying in slightly more comfort
18th century – Napolean’s military hospitalsGeorge Washington’s top-notch medical treatmentFlorence Nightingale: shift to healing rather than comfortEvidence based medicine, scientific and technological advances1870: Public Health Service and the Surgeon GeneralReligious hospitalsPrivately built hospitalsMunicipal hospitalsTruman’s “Fair Deal” – urban renewal and universal health careHill-Burton Act – federal funding for hospital construction… with strings attachedDemonstration of economic viability – favored centralized healthcare facilities“Reasonable amount of free care” to patients who were unable to payMedicare – shift from health insurance to third party paymentEmergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act (EMTALA) – required emergency departments to treat everyone regardless of ability to pay55% of US emergency care goes uncompensated44% of US medical expenditures from Medicare and MedicaidAustralia’s “socialized” system: 76% publicly fundedWhoa, we’re halfway there1980’s: Diagnosis Related Group (DRG) system: hospital reimbursement based on an “episode of care” rather than actual costs incurredNo market pricing – just like rent controlStifling construction and innovationCase Studies- Critical Access Hospitals – federal funding, with strings attached
- No more than 25 inpatient beds
Increasing patient volume forces inpatients into ER beds to avoid breaching limit“It’s just some arbitrary number that some legislator pulled out of his ass.”Surgery unit expansion –- Ambulatory surgery center in separate building
Medicare/Medicaid moved the goalposts by changing the criteria for the “hospital owned” outpatient facility reimbursement rateA really expensive medical office building“Life in a regulated market can be far more chaotic than it would likely be under a fully free market system”“It may be the one industry in America that is the farthest removed from a free market.”Joe’s Aversion to Hospitals- Chopping firewood is a danger to all great men
Australian first aid – “She’ll be right”The New Royal Adelaide Hospital (RAH)Follow up surgery choice – time or money?“ER doctors: Please don’t come to the emergency room if you have a cold”Obamacare fail #81627: “If everyone has insurance, people won’t go to the emergency room for a cold”Fee based service and real health insurance (as opposed to health pre-payment)A complete chaotic messCertificate of Need (CON)- obscure state level legislation that libertarians have dug up to complain about
- Hospitals forced to justify any expansion
Assessment hearing – competitors whine about competitionProps up incumbents, preserves status quoAvoidance of approval process influences hospital expansion decisionsDuplication of services – cost reduction through competition, and redundancyNew York was the first state to enact CON laws, and they have the lowest ICU beds per capitaMany states have removed CON requirements70 years of government intervention in the healthcare system- Consolidation due to “growth ponzi scheme” and administrative costs
Technology has been improving healthcare, removing profitable services from hospitalsEnter COVID-19- Patients need an “airborne infection isolation room” with negative pressure to prevent germs from getting out
Typical rooms have positive pressure to prevent germs from getting inTemporary solutions- Convert existing hospital rooms to infection isolation rooms
ASHRAE guidelines to retrofit existing roomsArmy Corps of Engineers guidelines- Arena to Healthcare – difficult to get ICU quality treatment
China building 1,000 bed hospitals in 10 daysChinese government welding doors shut to enforce quarantine?What happens to the excess ICU rooms after the peak has passed?Certificate of need does not applyRegional hospitals struggling – extra staff, fewer normal patientsHotel to hospital?Medical tents (NOT FEMA CAMPS… I hope…)- Keeps COVID patients out of main hospital
“You’re in a frigging tent.”Evidence based design – out the window (because there are no windows)Navy hospital shipNow is not the time for a cruise to China“There are no libertarians in a pandemic”Governments have failed on many frontsIndividuals and businesses have responded quickly and effectivelyIs there public space in a pandemic?- Not under government ownership
“My rights are not subject to your lack of imagination.”Links/Resources
- Public Health Service (Wikipedia)
Hill-Burton Act (Wikipedia)EMTALA (Wikipedia)Certificate of NeedOn limiting supply of resources (Medium.com)Map of CON by state (Mercatus Center)Tom Woods Show: Episode 1626 discussing CONStatistics- 55% of US emergency care goes uncompensated (Wikipedia)
US medical expenditures from Medicare and Medicaid: 40% as of Feb 2020, from CMS Fast Facts, Feb 2020 version “National Expenditures” table. The 44% figure was a 2004 number reported in the Wikipedia entry for EMTALA (link above)- Australia’s “socialized” system: “During 2017–18, total health expenditure was $185.4 billion. Of this, over two-thirds (68.3% or $126.7 billion) was government funded (41.6% by the Australian Government and 26.7% from state and territory governments), with the remaining 31.7% funded by non-government sources (Figure 3.1).” from AIHW Health expenditure Australia 2017–18 Section 3
Map of ICU beds per capita by state (Washington Post)Regional Hospitals Struggling (MSN)Temporary Healthcare Facilities- ASHRAE guidelines to retrofit existing rooms
Army Corps of Engineers guide to “Alternate Care Sites” (NOT FEMA CAMPS… I hope…)Life comes at you fast: Navy Hospital Ships depart ports after seeing few patients (AP)China- Drone Surveillance (Slate)
Welding Doors Shut (Washington Post)- Building 1,000 bed hospitals in 10 days (Business Insider)
Episodes Mentioned
Repurposing public space to impart wisdomBut public schools are still open
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