Mathematik, Informatik und Statistik - Open Access LMU - Teil 01/03

Application of Survival Analysis Methods to Long Term Care Insurance


Listen Later

With the introduction of compulsory long term care (LTC) insurance in Germany in 1995, a large claims portfolio with a significant proportion of censored observations became available. In first part of this paper we present an analysis of part of this portfolio using the Cox proportional hazard model (Cox, 1972) to estimate transition intensities. It is shown that this approach allows the inclusion of censored observations as well as the inclusion of time dependent risk factors such as time spent in LTC. This is in contrast to the more commonly used Poisson regression with graduation approach (see for example Renshaw and Haberman 1995) where censored observations and time dependent risk factors are ignored. In the second part we show how these estimated transition intensities can be used in a multiple state Markov process (see Haberman and Pitacco, 1999) to calculate premiums for LTC insurance plans.
...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Mathematik, Informatik und Statistik - Open Access LMU - Teil 01/03By Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München


More shows like Mathematik, Informatik und Statistik - Open Access LMU - Teil 01/03

View all
Hegel lectures by Robert Brandom, LMU Munich by Robert Brandom, Axel Hutter

Hegel lectures by Robert Brandom, LMU Munich

7 Listeners

MCMP – Philosophy of Science by MCMP Team

MCMP – Philosophy of Science

1 Listeners

Strings Conference 2012 (LMU) by Prof. Dr. Dieter Lüst et al.

Strings Conference 2012 (LMU)

0 Listeners

MCMP – Mathematical Philosophy (Archive 2011/12) by MCMP Team

MCMP – Mathematical Philosophy (Archive 2011/12)

6 Listeners

Sommerfeld Lecture Series (ASC) by The Arnold Sommerfeld Center for Theoretical Physics (ASC)

Sommerfeld Lecture Series (ASC)

0 Listeners

Sommerfeld Theory Colloquium (ASC) by Michael Haack

Sommerfeld Theory Colloquium (ASC)

2 Listeners

Theoretical Physics Schools (ASC) by The Arnold Sommerfeld Center for Theoretical Physics (ASC)

Theoretical Physics Schools (ASC)

2 Listeners

LMU Rechtsphilosophie by Prof. Dr. jur. Dr. jur. h.c. mult. Bernd Schünemann

LMU Rechtsphilosophie

0 Listeners

MCMP – Philosophy of Physics by MCMP Team

MCMP – Philosophy of Physics

3 Listeners

Women Thinkers in Antiquity and the Middle Ages - SD by Peter Adamson

Women Thinkers in Antiquity and the Middle Ages - SD

0 Listeners