Financial markets have posted notable gains month to date.  And market optimism concerning the US elections has been amplified this week by hopes for a COVID vaccine.  A key question for investors now is whether news of a vaccine will be enough to push risk assets higher through year-end, even as accelerating COVID infection rates threaten an already fragile economic recovery.

Without a doubt, the news of a means to quell the spread of this year's deadly virus is a positive development for our healthcare system, our economy, and the markets.  However, of particular concern remains production and distribution obstacles related to getting the vaccine out to those who need it most.  These enduring questions mean that the healthcare crisis is likely to intensify before it gets better.  

Even so, we believe that the recent vaccine news combined with prospects of a concerted national response to the pandemic and potentially trillions of dollars in additional fiscal spending signals that light is beginning to shine at the end of the tunnel. If hope holds out, and the economy largely remains open, then the current market rotation into cyclical sectors could continue ahead of an economic recovery next year. 

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