In the early 1980s, the Nobel prize-winning cognitive scientists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman researched what they dubbed the Overconfidence Effect. This is a well-established error in reasoning in which a person’s subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. In the last several decades, continuing research on overconfidence has further supported this effect. Yet the feeling of. . . See the complete description at http://www.thedrboshow.com/tools/bg/Bo/TheDrBoShow