JSEDirect with Simon Brown

Atlanta Fed has the US already in recession for Q1


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The Atlanta Fed’s GDP Forecast
  • The Atlanta Fed GDPNow predicts a -2.4% GDP contraction for Q1 2025.
  • Market uncertainty due to tariffs and economic policy concerns.
  • Corporate travel and consumer bookings showing signs of weakness as Delta Airlines downgrades their expectations from mid January.
Market Reactions and Sell-Offs
  • Nasdaq and S&P had their worst single-day drops since 2022.
  • Major stocks like Nvidia, ASML, and CrowdStrike seeing significant declines.
  • Bitcoin at $81,000 amid broader market volatility.
Europe as a Potential Investment Opportunity
  • Europe’s economic stimulus: Germany announces a €500B package.
  • ETFs to consider: EURO STOXX 50 (SYGEU) vs. MSCI Europe Industrial Sector.
  • Potential for growth in industrial and defense sectors.

Euro Stoxx 50 | Weekly | 12 March 2025

Just One Lap Turns 14
  • Founded in 2011 to provide online financial education.
  • Reflection on the platform’s growth and community support.
South African Budget Review
  • Possible VAT increase; lack of innovative fiscal strategies.
  • Previous reliance on gold reserves for financial stability.
  • Discussion on potential economic impacts.
HomeChoice International Results
  • Revenue up 21%, HEPS up 27%, dividend up 17%.
  • Expanding into fintech with PayJustNow and FinChoice.
  • Liquidity concerns despite strong financial performance.
Two-Pot Retirement Withdrawals - Where Did the Money Go?
  • Initial claims suggested debt repayment, but data suggests spending.
  • Increased vehicle sales, hospitality sector growth (e.g., Spur, Sun International).
  • Implications for long-term financial planning.

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

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00:00 Economic Outlook: Recession Predictions and Market Reactions 09:07 Investing in Europe: Opportunities and ETFs 12:07 Celebrating 14 Years of Just One Lap 13:20 Budget Analysis: VAT Increase and Economic Innovation 15:09 Home Choice International: Business Performance and Liquidity Challenges 18:19 Consumer Spending Trends: Where Did the Money Go?

 

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JSEDirect with Simon BrownBy www.JustOneLap.com