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Australia has trillions in superannuation savings, world-class resources and talented entrepreneurs. So why is Australian capital increasingly looking overseas?
In Episode 7 of Australia Inc., Greg Robinson, Adrian Turner and Tony Davis examine a growing problem facing the Australian economy. We have enormous investment needs, but are our policies making Australia less attractive to investors?
Adrian questions why Australian superannuation funds are directing more capital offshore. Tony argues money follows attractive returns, while Greg warns that regulatory uncertainty and declining business confidence threaten Australia's competitiveness.
But the conversation goes further.
Is Australia losing confidence in its leadership? The panel examines political accountability, declining public trust and the increasingly hostile nature of political debate.
Are we failing our entrepreneurs? Adrian raises concerns about Australian technology businesses moving offshore to access the investment needed to grow.
And what lessons should Australia take from overseas? The panel clashes over whether political protests and grassroots movements in Europe offer a warning about declining trust in government.
The episode also examines critical minerals, mining investment, Australia's healthcare system and the future of innovation.
The panel finishes with its signature Buy, Hold or Sell verdicts.
This time, nobody is buying.
Moderated by Nick Hossack, Australia Inc. asks the question:
If Australia were a company, would you invest?
Episode chapters
00:00 Introduction: Australia's economy and business confidence
01:18 Buy, Hold or Sell: Opening verdicts
03:19 What business leaders are saying
04:29 Innovation, talent and Australia's competitiveness
08:15 Healthcare and aged care under pressure
10:21 Mining, critical minerals and AI investment
14:15 Political safety, leadership and public trust
21:44 Why governments avoid difficult conversations
26:40 Funding Australia's future: Where will the money come from?
27:37 Why Australian capital is heading offshore
31:07 Critical minerals, coal and investment challenges
34:41 Business confidence and attracting investment
37:41 Why Australian technology companies struggle to scale
39:17 France, Serbia and public frustration
44:21 Could similar political movements emerge in Australia?
53:25 Final Buy, Hold or Sell verdicts
Join the conversation
Should Australian super funds invest more at home? What needs to change to attract investment and rebuild confidence?
Listen to Episode 7 and share your perspective.
Subscribe or follow Australia Inc. on Apple Podcasts and Spotify for new episodes every fortnight.
Visit www.australiainc.com.au and follow Australia Inc. on LinkedIn for more conversations about Australia's future.
Has Australia lost its appetite for risk, or have government policies made it too difficult to succeed?
In Episode 6 of Australia Inc., Greg Robinson, Adrian Turner and Tony Davis challenge some of the assumptions shaping Australia's future. Moderated by Nick Hossack, the discussion examines immigration, entrepreneurship, nuclear energy and the growing concerns about Australia's economic competitiveness.
Could cutting immigration make Australia's problems worse? As the Coalition proposes significant reductions to migration, the panel debates the consequences for housing, productivity, skilled workers and regional communities. Adrian challenges the economic logic of reducing labour supply without improving productivity, while Greg argues Australia has relied too heavily on immigration to drive growth.
Have Australians become too comfortable to take risks? From falling business confidence and regulatory barriers to entrepreneurs moving overseas, the discussion questions whether Australia's declining appetite for risk is cultural or the result of poor policy settings. Are we losing the willingness to have a go?
And is nuclear energy the missing piece of Australia's economic future? Tony examines the realities of developing a nuclear industry, while Adrian challenges the assumption that Australia must wait decades. Greg considers the consequences for corporate investment, AI infrastructure and long-term competitiveness.
The episode closes with the panel's signature Buy, Hold or Sell verdicts.
If Australia were a company, would you invest?
Chapters
00:00 Opening: Australia's economic challenges
00:17 Introduction and the big questions
01:28 Buy, Hold or Sell: Opening perspectives
04:49 Corporate confidence, leadership and AI
10:45 Immigration: The Coalition's proposed cuts
15:01 Immigration, productivity and Australia's skilled workforce
24:58 Has Australia lost its appetite for risk?
33:27 Nuclear energy: Cost, timelines and political barriers
38:47 Corporate investment, AI and Australia's energy future
44:09 Final Buy, Hold or Sell verdicts
Join the conversation
Is Australia making the right decisions to secure its future? Which is the bigger challenge: immigration, our appetite for risk or energy security?
Share your thoughts and join the discussion.
Follow Australia Inc. on Spotify and Apple Podcasts for new episodes every fortnight, and follow our LinkedIn page for the debates, insights and ideas shaping Australia's future.
50 Million Australians? The Immigration Debate We Need to Have
What should Australia’s immigration system actually optimise for?
More people? More skilled workers? Higher GDP? Higher GDP per capita? Or a long-term population large enough to give Australia greater economic scale?
In Episode 5 of Australia Inc., immigration sparks one of the panel’s most robust debates yet.
With net migration sitting well above Australia’s historic levels, Nick Hossack puts a bigger proposition on the table: should Australia be building towards a population of 50 million?
Greg Robinson argues Australia needs “smart immigration” focused on the skills required for its future. Adrian Turner argues Australia should increase highly skilled migration to help build new industries. Tony Davis says the headline immigration number misses the fundamental question. What economic outcome are we trying to achieve, and where is the strategy behind it?
The conversation then widens. Treasury’s Intergenerational Report assumes productivity growth averaging 1.2% a year through to 2066. The panel challenges whether Australia has the execution, investment and risk appetite required to deliver it. AI, housing, manufacturing, critical minerals and Australia’s ability to scale world-class ideas all come under scrutiny.
Australia has enormous capability.
The argument is over what we do with it.
If Australia were a business, would you invest?
CHAPTERS
00:00 If Australia Were a Business, Would You Invest?
01:08 Buy, Hold or Sell: The Opening Verdict
02:27 Critical Minerals, Consumers and the AI Race
12:32 Australia’s Immigration Debate Begins
18:29 Should Australia Have 50 Million People?
20:24 What Should Immigration Actually Optimise For?
23:20 The Debate Heats Up: Skills, Numbers and Leadership
29:27 Treasury’s Intergenerational Report
31:28 AI, Productivity and Australia’s Kodak Moment
45:23 Housing and the Next Generation
50:03 The Future of Australian Manufacturing
58:52 Capital, Energy and Australia’s Appetite for Risk
01:04:24 Final Verdict: Buy, Hold or Sell Australia?
Australia has world-class resources, skilled people and major strategic advantages. So why does it keep falling short of its potential? In the same week former prime minister Kevin Rudd labelled Australia “the Complacent Country,” the Australia Inc. panel asks whether the nation is still worth backing.
Moderator Nick Hossack is joined by Gregory W. Robinson, Adrian Turner and Tony Davis. Tony makes his first Sell call of the season. Greg remains a Sell. Adrian moves to Buy, arguing Australia’s assets still support a turnaround.
The panel examines stagnant generational incomes, executive churn, populism, migration policy, falling Sydney house prices and a construction sector short about 141,000 workers. They debate whether government keeps treating a housing supply problem with demand controls.
The conversation then turns to Australia’s underused advantages. The country holds the world’s second-largest copper reserves and has the geography, expertise and international partnerships required to build a serious space industry. The panel also revisits the Sydney Swans’ response to controversy before delivering their final Buy, Sell or Hold verdicts.
If Australia were a company, would you invest?
TIMECODES
00:00 Opening Calls and Tony’s First Sell
03:18 CEO Churn, AI Risk and Business Confidence
08:12 Copper: Australia’s Untapped Advantage
11:54 Populism, One Nation and the Migration Debate
25:42 Sydney House Prices and the Supply Crisis
31:08 Property, Productive Capital and Regional Growth
36:55 Australia’s Space Opportunity
43:22 Talent, Investment and Sovereign Launch Capability
51:32 Sydney Swans: Performance, Culture and Accountability
55:12 Final Verdicts: Buy, Sell or Hold
Greg Robinson, Adrian Turner and Tony Davis open split on Australia (sell, hold, sell) and close no better, with a fresh sell on Australian male culture triggered by the Sydney Swans scandal. Along the way: AUKUS and the AI money flooding the US midterms, why Australia's best cyber talent is eyeing the exit, and a hard look at whether $4.5 trillion in superannuation is really "national" money.
TIMECODES:
0:00:07 Open — Buy, Hold or Sell?
(0:00:07 – 0:02:28 covered)
0:02:28 Around the Grounds — An Art Fair, an ASD Startup & a Swans Story Brewing
(0:02:28 – 0:07:23 covered)
0:07:23 Culture, Accountability & the Swans Fallout
(0:07:23 – 0:21:37 covered)
0:22:16 US Midterms, AUKUS & the AI Money Race
(0:22:16 – 0:32:12 covered)
0:32:12 Australia's Competitiveness Gap — Energy, Brain Drain & Risk Appetite
(0:32:12 – 0:36:31 covered)
0:36:49 Superannuation — Whose Money, Whose Call?
(0:36:49 – 0:54:05 covered)
0:54:20 Close — Final Verdicts & Male Culture
(0:54:20 – 0:57:56 covered)
0:57:56 Around the Grounds — Restaurant Picks & Sign-off
(0:57:56 – 1:01:28 covered)
SPONSORS:
Blenheim Partners (~0:21:37) — Board and executive search advisors to Australian listed companies, multinationals, and private and social-impact organisations on critical people decisions.
Perseus Management (~0:36:31) — Strategy and execution consultancy: "clarity where it counts."
TimeBridge Partners (~0:54:05) — A network of operators, not consultants, helping boards work out what to actually do about AI.
Episode 2 opens with a check-in on the show's central bet: buy, hold or sell Australia? This time the mood shifts. Greg stays a sell. Adrian gets more bearish. Tony, the panel's most consistent buyer, admits he's being dragged toward a hold.
What follows is an argument about what's actually happening underneath the headlines. Gold is about to become Australia's second largest export, a $73 billion story this year alone, but the funding for one of its biggest new processing plants came from the United States, not from here. Boards are racing to deploy agentic AI without understanding what it exposes them to, and the cost per task keeps climbing even as the price per token falls. And while Australia exports enough food to feed 75 million people, the panel walks through numbers showing double income households, including teachers and nurses, skipping meals so their kids don't have to.
The back half turns to two of the sharpest arguments in the country right now: what Ukraine's drone war means for Australia's own defence industry, and why the tax system, on this panel's read, is actively pushing entrepreneurs and founders out the door. Tony doesn't hold back on what this year's capital gains tax changes have already cost.
Nobody on this panel agrees with each other for long, and that's the point. Line of the episode goes to Tony on where AI adoption is really heading: "It's the new heroin of the 2020s."
Where do you land? Buy, hold or sell on Australia after this one? Drop your verdict in the comments. We read every one, and the strongest arguments make it into a future episode.
Show Notes
[00:00] Buy, Hold or Sell: The Panel Checks In Greg holds his sell, Adrian gets more bearish, and Tony admits he's being dragged from buy toward hold before the show even starts.
[01:41] Gold Hits $73 Billion, and the Funding Skipped Australia Diggers and Dealers, Joe Hockey's keynote, and the critical minerals processing plant that took six years to fund, with the money coming from the US, not home.
[05:12] Boards Are Bluffing on AI, and the Bill Is Quietly Doubling Agentic AI rollouts outpacing cybersecurity, the real economics of tokenomics, and why the CFO is now the number one target in every recruitment brief.
"It's the new heroin of the 2020s." Tony Davis, [13:00], on where AI dependency is heading.
[13:57] Teachers and Nurses Are Skipping Breakfast The food insecurity numbers nobody expects from a country that grows enough to feed 75 million people, and a debate over whether the fix belongs to government or charity.
[24:43] Drones Are Rewriting the Rules of War, and Australia Is Behind FPV kill counts out of Ukraine, four million dollar missiles versus ten thousand dollar drones, and the Australian companies already building counter-drone tech for the rest of the world.
[35:51] The Tax System Is Chasing Entrepreneurs Out the Door The Henry Tax Review nobody finished, the GST nobody will touch, and why small business carries two thirds of the ATO's debt book while paying a fraction of total tax collected.
[45:56] Bradman, Cadel Evans and the Best Sailing Comeback in History The panel argues out Australia's greatest athlete of all time, and John Bertrand's America's Cup story gets its due.
[50:26] Final Verdicts: Two Sells and a Hold Where the panel lands after an hour of arguing it out, and why none of them are as confident as they were at the start.
Tell us where you land. Buy, hold or sell on Australia after this episode, and why? Leave your verdict in the comments, we want the pushback as much as the agreement.
Follow the Australia Inc Podcast page so you don't miss the next one, and subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Australia Inc applies an equity analyst's framework (buy, hold, or sell) to the political, economic and business developments shaping the nation, hosted by three leaders who each bring a distinct lens to the table: resources and defence, technology and AI, and executive leadership. Moderated by former prime ministerial adviser Nick Hossack, the series treats Australia the way a research analyst would treat a listed company: fundamentals, balance sheet, management quality, and growth outlook.
In this opening episode, the panel starts with the headline call (two sells and a buy) before moving through what they're hearing in boardrooms this AGM season (red tape, sovereign risk, a wave of executive-level restructuring), a sharp debate on where Australia sits in the global AI race, a case study on Victoria as a distressed state balance sheet, and a closing search for genuine "green shoots": sovereign wealth, agriculture, and biosecurity among them. It ends where all good research notes should: with a final rating, and the reasoning behind it.
What's in this episode
Timestamps are approximate, taken from the raw recording; please confirm against the final edit before publishing.
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