There is cause for hope about the numbers leveling in the US and dropping in the states I have given an over lay of the march modeling, and how we have tracked down under. Crudely it looks like 77% compliance, the extra hump I understand is from the cruise ships and overseas cases The light blue line is the actual data the heavylines are predictions from the first 100 cases. MP4 recording     MP3 recording -- -- Your browser does not support the audio element.