The US housing market in October 2025 is experiencing the most balance buyers and sellers have seen in several years. Over the past week, median 30-year fixed mortgage rates dropped to an average of 6.30 percent, the lowest level in ten months and a significant improvement from the peak rates above 7 percent earlier this year. This shift is easing monthly mortgage payments by up to 250 dollars compared to May, and giving both first-time and move-up buyers a financial reprieve.
New home listings rose 2.3 percent year-over-year for the four weeks ending October 5, marking the largest such jump in three months. However, potential homebuyers are still cautious. Pending sales declined 1.3 percent and homes sold took an average of 48 days to go under contract, which is a week longer than the previous year and the slowest September since 2019.
The national median sale price reached 389,350 dollars in early October, increasing 2.1 percent over last year, which is the sharpest annual price jump in the past six months. Despite more inventory hitting the market, there is less competition—23 percent of homes sold above asking, down from 26 percent a year ago. While active listings are up by 8 to 17 percent depending on the region, overall inventory remains about 13 to 14 percent lower than typical pre-pandemic years, meaning full inventory recovery is still out of reach.
In response to these conditions, major homebuilders are adjusting rapidly. They are offering price cuts and incentives to attract buyers, especially since unsold new homes under construction have accumulated. Builders face ongoing supply chain challenges, but disruptions are less severe than the shortages seen in prior years.
There have been no major regulatory changes or industry-disrupting deals reported this week, but consumer behavior is clearly shifting. Buyers are waiting for even lower mortgage rates and are more conservative about making large purchases amid continued economic uncertainty.
This overall cooling market is a decided change from the frenzied conditions of recent years. Unlike last fall where inventory was tight and rates were rising, buyers in October 2025 are finally seeing more options, slightly better affordability, and more negotiating power, especially in Southern and Western regions where inventory recovery is strongest.
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This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI