America is on the go again. The FAA expects air travel this Thanksgiving week to be the busiest in 15 years. There was a flood of last-minute bookings this past week, as it was previously projected to have a 3% decline compared to last year. The government re-opening likely played a big role. In total, 82 Million Americans are expected to travel 50 miles or more this Thanksgiving. The Holiday Season is upon us...

Back in February of 2024, just 22 eventful months ago, the Stock Market was teetering. The 14-month rally was maturing and being tested. The AI-Trade was being questioned. Investor sentiment was sour. Things were looking bleak. The Market was in need of a spark. Earnings Season was coming to a close. However, there was one big hitter left. It was Nvidia’s turn at the plate. The company knocked it out of the park. Investors celebrated. The AI-trade was back on. Nvidia saved the rally...

Market volatility was definitely the theme this week. After reaching fresh all-time highs for months, the Bull Market hit the brakes. The AI-trade stalled. Friday was a wild one. Stocks gapped down at the open, building off Thursday’s decline. The Volatility Index spiked, reflecting newfound fear. Weak hands were dumping stocks. Those are the ones generally late to the party. Strong handed investors were tight gripped and dip buyers jumped back in. It’s said that corrections send stocks back to their rightful owners...

I was in Denver this week for Schwab’s annual Impact conference. Meredith joined me. Firms from across the country converged on the Rockies to study trends, collaborate on common challenges and try to map out the future. No surprise, the advancement of Artificial Intelligence was a dominant theme...

October concluded with one of the most Market-moving weeks in memory. Between the Tech Titans earnings, a Fed rate cut and a Presidential summit between China and the U.S., there was a tidal wave of news for investors to ride. And the AI Bull kept charging ahead. The S&P just banked its 6th consecutive monthly gain as it continues to run in the face of any issue in its way. Here’s another rapid rundown...

The rally just keeps on keeping on. Wall Street keeps putting up big numbers. The S&P 500 reached 6800 Friday for the first time ever. The Dow cleared 47K. America’s Stock Market, as measured by the S&P, is now worth $57 Trillion. Friday’s trigger to new highs: Inflation is cooler than expected. This, according to the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. That was music for the Bulls. 2-Year Treasury yields immediately fell. Stocks rallied. Another rate cut seems guaranteed next week. The Market is assigning a 96.7% probability of just that...

Forget Football and Baseball for a minute. It is Earnings Season that kicked off this week. It’s that time again when Corporate America submits its report cards. Nearly 75% of the S&P 500 companies, measured by market cap, are scheduled to report in October. The Street expects earnings to increase +8.0% in Q3, compared to a year ago. That would be a solid clip should the estimates become fact. What’s more, revenue is expected to increase +6.3%. Estimates have increased since the quarter started in July. The Street had been looking for a 4.8% increase for Q3...

The final stretch is near. It’s been quite a year for investors. Everywhere you look, up and down Wall Street, you simply can’t escape the AI hype. Artificial Intelligence is expected to revolutionize our way of life, much like the Industrial Revolution in the 19th century and the advancement of the internet towards the end of the 20th. Those were pretty big. Of course that’s a complete understatement. They both changed the game forever. Some say AI will be even more transformative. That’s saying a lot...

We are nearing the end of September; Historically the worst for stocks. This year has certainly bucked that trend. The month started out with a bang as the S&P 500 extended the rally, going farther and faster. For months, stocks climbed that wall of worry. The dips kept getting bought. The trend is your friend, as they say. However, the trend has changed a bit. This week the rally stalled...

The Fed cut interest rates for the first time this year. No surprise, it was a virtual certainty heading into the meeting. This was the first rate cut in 9 months, after an extended period of pause to gauge the impacts of tariffs and overall inflation. Fed Chair Powell called it a “risk-management cut”. It’s not a catchy phrase. But it speaks to the indecisiveness at the central bank. Debate is natural. It’s healthy, when used with respect...