April 14, 2020

Best Ball Strategy for WR & TE with Anthony Amico

1 hour 25 minutes

Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Anthony Amico joins Greg for another best ball draft strategy bonanza, but the episode begins with a more general news discussion of the recent trade of Brandin Cooks from the Rams to the Texans, plus Kansas City's signing of DeAndre Washington. From there, your hosts dive into best ball, starting with an assessment of the ZeroRB draft strategy. Anthony makes his case for how it can work and details some of the nuances to keep in mind when navigating through a structured drafting approach. Next, the conversation turns to Anthony's machine learning prospect models for running backs and wide receivers, explaining how he uses the models' hit-rate estimates to help find values with rookies in best ball drafts. Around the 25-minute mark, Greg and Anthony dive headfirst into wide receivers, kicking things off with Corey Davis, AJ Brown, and DeVante Parker as examples of some of the different types of wideouts you can target in best ball. Then they go back to the top of wide receiver ADP and work their way down, from potential busts in the top tier down to rookies and other intriguing dart throws in the double-digit rounds. As if that wasn't enough, tight end talk kicks off around the 63-minute mark. Your hosts identify some of the best late-round values at the position, then use that frame of reference to discuss which higher-ranked tight ends are worth their best ball draft costs.

Links

RB Prospect Model by Anthony Amico
WR Prospect Model by Anthony Amico
Best Ball ADP at 4for4.com
FFPC WR Win Rates by Andrew Fleischer
Fanball WR Win Rates by Andrew Fleischer
FFPC TE Win Rates by Jennifer Eakins
Fanball TE Win Rates by Jennifer Eakins
How Draft Dates Impact Best Ball Scoring by Justin Edwards
7 Players to Target in Best Ball before the NFL Draft by 4for4's Staff
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: Anthony Amico - @amicsta
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce