Bet The Algo: Week 6 Free 3

Can't Miss Mitch and his brainchild the Value Index Algorithm AKA ALGO return for week 3 of the NFL season to bring you 3 free picks.

Get every ALGO pick every single week along with bonus content by subscribing to the Bet the Algo Patreon Page at patreon.com/betthealgo

New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Predicted Score: NE 16.48, LV 19.05

Spread: -3.0

Value Index: 0.43

Preview: Pressure cooker situation – can the Raiders' QB handle the heat from NE's front seven? • Even though NE's Sack % at 6.94% is ranked 19th, the spotlight falls on LV's QB Sacked % at a worrying 8.38%, ranking them 22nd. Expect the Patriots to dial up the pressure and aim to disrupt the Raiders' offensive rhythm.

Model's Pick: New England Patriots

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Jets

Predicted Score: PHI 24.36 - NYJ 17.36

Spread: 6.5

Value Index: 0.51

Offensive Dominance:

Preview: High-flying Eagles versus grounded Jets; who will emerge victorious? • Philadelphia's offense is in a league of its own when compared to the Jets. With a 5th rank in Points/Game (28.2), they dwarf the Jets who languish at 24th with just 18.6 points. This pronounced differential suggests a clear offensive edge for the Eagles.

Rushing Strength:

Preview: Ground and pound - Can the Eagles exploit the Jets' rush defensive frailties? • The Eagles, with a league-leading average of 35.8 rushes per game and ranking 2nd in Rush Yards/Game (164.0), seem set to target the Jets' weak run defense, which allows 146.2 Rush Yards/Game and ranks a poor 29th.

Defensive Solidity:

Preview: An impenetrable fortress or a house of cards? How will the Jets' offense fare against Philadelphia's defense? • Philadelphia's defense stands tall, ranking 10th in limiting Opponent Yards/Game (308.8). The Jets, on the other hand, struggle with their offensive output, averaging a mere 283.6 Yards/Game (27th rank). The Eagles might just have the defensive tools to keep the Jets at bay.

Conversion Efficiency:

Preview: To convert or not? That's the question for the Jets against the Eagles. • The Eagles shine bright in 3D Conversion Percentage, boasting a 50.68% success rate, ranking them 2nd. The Jets seem to falter here, holding the unfortunate last position in the league with a paltry 26.23%. Expect the Eagles to sustain drives, while the Jets might find themselves punting more often.

Turnovers:

Preview: A battle of wits and skills - which team will maintain ball security? • Both teams are positive when it comes to turnover margin. Yet, the Eagles edge out with 1.6 Takeaways/Game (10th rank), hinting at a higher likelihood of them capitalizing on the Jets' mistakes, especially given the Jets' offense tendency to give away the ball.

Model's Pick: Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Lions vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Predicted Score: DET 24.33 - TB 19.65

Spread: 3.0

Value Index: 1.68

Offensive Powerhouse vs. Defensive Average:

Preview: Fire meets water as Detroit's offense clashes with Tampa's defense. • Detroit, with their impressive 4th rank in Points/Game (29.6), looks set to test TB's defense, which allows 17.0 Points/Game (8th rank). While the Buccaneers have a commendable defensive unit, Detroit's explosive offense has consistently put up significant numbers, hinting at a potential fireworks show this weekend.

Preview: Showstoppers or bystanders? How will Detroit's defense perform against Tampa Bay's offense? • Detroit's defense, with 3.8 Takeaways/Game, ranks 5th and showcases their ability to change the game's momentum. In contrast, Tampa Bay's offense, which gives away the ball 2.2 times per game (21st rank), might be playing with fire against this opportunistic Detroit defense.

Model's Pick: Detroit Lions