0:00 - US Open Betting Guide Intro and Shinnecock Overview

0:01:00 - Pay Attention to Player Interviews This Week

0:03:00 - Wind Forecast and Wave Advantage Considerations

0:05:00 - Scottie's Grand Slam Narrative and Whether to Bet Him

0:08:00 - 2004 and 2018 Rewatch Value and USGA Setup Notes

0:16:00 - Why Rory Fits Shinnecock and Andy's Course Fit Case

0:20:00 - Patrick Reed and the Courses He Shouldn't Model Well At

0:24:00 - Rory vs. the Field: Tier Comparisons at Current Price

0:29:00 - Cam Young and the Case for Him

0:31:00 - Fitzpatrick, Xander, and Tommy as Near Misses

0:38:00 - Brooks Fade and the Nerve Issue Playing a Factor

0:42:00 - JJ Spaun at 60-1 and the Defending Champion Angle

0:53:00 - Shane Lowry at 85-1 as Andy's Long Shot Play

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Build your own U.S. Open card with The Rabbit Hole, and new players get the first week for $1 with code USOPEN: https://bit.ly/bsg-ytd

0:00 - US Open First Look at Shinnecock Hills

0:04:00 - Odds Board: Scottie at 6-1, Rory, Rahm, and the Second Tier

0:06:00 - Scottie's Grand Slam Bid and Father's Day Birthday Storyline

0:07:00 - Thursday Wind Forecast and How USGA Will Set Up the Course

0:08:00 - Wider Fairways in 2026 and What That Changes Off the Tee

0:12:00 - Two-Foot Fescue Rough and Why Missing Fairways Is Death

0:19:00 - Brian Harman Accuracy Angle vs. Minwoo Lee Bomber Risk

0:21:00 - Par Four Scoring Is the Key Filter at Shinnecock

0:25:00 - Bogey and Double Bogey Avoidance on Impossible Conditions

0:30:00 - Comp Courses: Pinehurst, Links Style, and Open Championship Data

0:34:00 - Very Difficult Scoring Filter in the Rabbit Hole

0:36:00 - Model Output: Scottie, Rahm, Xander, Henley on Top

0:53:00 - Cam Smith, Tommy Fleetwood, and Ty Hatton as Live Plays

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - JT Poston's Memorial Win and What It Means

0:02:00 - TPC Toronto: Why Form Matters More Than Stats Here

0:06:00 - DFS Strategy: Fading the Bomber Narrative in GPPs

0:08:00 - Andy's Five-Man Card and How He Built It

0:14:00 - Burns at 16-1: The Only Short Price Andy Can Back

0:22:00 - Wyndham Clark at 46-1: Birthday Bonus Bet

0:25:00 - Kristoff Reiten: Wedge Work and Tee to Green Form

0:27:00 - Bobby Mac Rolling the Wrong Way at the Same Price

0:34:00 - Nikolai Hojgaard: Six Top Tens in Last Seven Starts

0:36:00 - Is Scottie's Dip the Kids Factor? The Spieth Comparison

0:38:00 - Alex Fitzpatrick Inside 15 Feet Data Deep Dive

0:47:00 - DFS Targets: Burns, Wyndham, Eric Cole, and Alex Fitz

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - Memorial Recap, JT Poston Wins, Golf's Longest Day

0:01:30 - RBC Canadian Open: Year Two at TPC Toronto

0:02:00 - Why Bombers Win Here and How to Approach the Wedge Edge

0:05:44 - Odds Board Overview: Fleetwood, Fitzpatrick, Burns, Clark

0:07:00 - Morikawa Health Watch and What to Make of His Price

0:08:00 - Nikolai Hojgaard, Wyndham Clark, Brooks Koepka Value Case

0:10:00 - TPC Toronto Course Profile and What Last Year Taught Us

0:14:00 - Why Driving Distance Is the Primary Handicapping Filter

0:18:00 - Last Year's Leaderboard Deep Dive: Fox, Burns, Cam Young

0:20:00 - When the Bomber Narrative Gets Over Leveraged in DFS

0:22:00 - Rolling Form: Wyndham, Eric Cole, Aaron Rai, Sam Burns

0:28:00 - Model Breakdown and Who Separates at the Top

0:36:00 - Where the Model Bunches and Finding Value Lower Down

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - Colonial Recap and Russell Henley Wins

0:02:00 - JJ Spaun in the Mix and JJ Spaun Recap

0:05:00 - Memorial Field and the Signature Event Format

0:07:00 - Why Muirfield Village Is One of Golf's Hardest Tests

0:14:00 - Scotty at Even Money: Bet Him or Fade Him?

0:20:00 - How to Think About Probability on Short Prices

0:21:00 - Andy's Card: Matt Fitzpatrick as the Primary Bet

0:25:00 - US Open Prep Factor and Who This Week Favors

0:32:00 - Model Breakdown: Scotty, Si Woo, Fitz on Top

0:37:00 - Patrick Cantlay Course History and Why Andy Won't Click

0:38:00 - Nick Taylor: DFS Value but Hard to Win Outright

0:40:00 - Kurt Kitayama at 80-1 and Ryan Gerard at 110-1

0:51:00 - Cam Young Without Scotty and the Double Winner Discussion

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - Colonial Recap and JJ Spaun Hopes

0:01:45 - Memorial Tournament Field and Signature Event Format

0:02:00 - Muirfield Village Course Overview and 2020 Renovation

0:04:20 - Why Finding the Fairway Is Paramount Here

0:05:00 - Small Greens, Thick Rough, and Around the Green Importance

0:07:00 - Comp Courses: Augusta, Innisbrook, Bay Hill, Oakmont

0:08:00 - Scoring Conditions: Playing Over Par Is the Norm

0:14:00 - Course History and Why Experience Here Matters

0:20:00 - Recent Leaderboards: Hovland, Cantlay, Scottie's Back-to-Back

0:22:00 - Henley and Sepp Straka as Stylistic Fits

0:35:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough and Difficult Ball Striking Filter

0:42:00 - Spahn, Rory, Cam Young, Xander Rise to the Top

0:44:00 - Scottie's Recent Form Drop and What It Means

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - CJ Cup Byron Nelson Recap and Craig Ranch Beatdown

0:02:00 - Could Byron Nelson Become a Fall Event?

0:03:00 - Colonial Course Breakdown and Two Years of Data

0:05:00 - Inside 15 Feet: Most Predictive Stat at Colonial

0:08:00 - Ludvig Åberg at 10-1: Too Short to Bet?

0:13:00 - JT Back in Play: Has He Fixed the Putter?

0:20:00 - JJ Spaun at 33-1

0:24:00 - Bobby Mac and Ben Griffin as Fades

0:27:00 - Rickie Fowler in Pencil at 27-1

0:28:00 - Ryo at 40-1 and the Course Fit Case

0:37:00 - Max Greyserman at 66-1: Tee to Green Sleeper

0:38:00 - Tony Finau at 70-1: Big Tone is Back

0:45:00 - Gary Woodland, Pierceson Coody, and Tom Hoge Longshots

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - CJ Cup Byron Nelson Recap and Wyndham Clark Wins

0:02:10 - Charles Schwab Challenge Field and Odds Board Overview

0:04:25 - Ludvig Åberg as the Prohibitive Favorite at Colonial

0:05:00 - Colonial Country Club History and Course Profile

0:07:00 - How the Renovation Changed the Way Colonial Plays

0:09:00 - Small Greens, Narrow Fairways, and Bermuda Rough

0:13:00 - Why Iron Play Is the Key Handicapping Filter This Week

0:18:00 - Course History vs. Course Fit: Which One to Trust

0:20:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough and Comp Course Data

0:28:00 - Model Output: JJ Spaun Rises to the Top

0:33:00 - Alex Smalley Value Spot vs. the Odds Board

0:36:00 - Final Model Rankings and Early Betting Angles

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - PGA Championship Recap and Andy's Tough Week

0:07:00 - Craig Ranch vs. Aronimink: Night and Day Handicap

0:09:00 - Scottie at Even Money: Bet Him or Fade Him?

0:13:00 - Andy's Model and Scottie Separating From Everyone

0:18:00 - Weak Field Scoring Filter and Who Pops Up

0:20:00 - Inside 15 Feet Rankings: Si Woo, Spieth, Davis Thompson

0:23:00 - Brooks and Si Woo as Fades at Their Current Price

0:25:00 - Andy's Top Bet: Rico Hoey at 30-1 Without Scottie

0:27:00 - Keith Mitchell Number One in the Model

0:33:00 - Beau Hossler at 80-1 and the Puerto Rico Corollary

0:35:00 - Karl Vilips as the Bomber Longshot Play

0:36:00 - Chandler Blanchet at 150-1 Without Scottie

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

0:00 - PGA Championship Recap and Aaron Rai Wins

0:03:00 - Why Small Field No-Cut Events Need to Go

0:07:00 - Aaron Rai's Back Nine Run That Closed It Out

0:09:00 - Craig Ranch Course Overview and New Setup

0:12:00 - How the Renovation Changes the Handicap

0:17:00 - Scotty Scheffler: Without Market vs. Each Way

0:19:00 - Scheffler's Byron Nelson Connection and Motivation

0:22:00 - Modeling Craig Ranch: Easy Scoring Conditions Filter

0:25:00 - Strokes Gained Rankings: Rye, Si Woo, Thor Lead

0:30:00 - Gary Higgo Tee Time Incident Breakdown

0:33:00 - Approach Shot Distribution at Craig Ranch

0:38:00 - Tee to Green Ceiling Plays and Birdie Opportunity Names

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.