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IBF On Demand sponsored by Arkieva, your one-plan S&OP software. Learn more about Arkieva's innovative approach to forecasting here: http://bit.ly/business-forecasting
This week I talk to Jonathan Karelse of North Find Management about how I am 100% perfect and other people are biased and wrong.
02:37 I'm not biased but you definitely are
06:00 Jonathan's research into identifying bias in Demand Planners
08:34 The Dunning Kreuger effects
10:11 The representative heuristic
11:11 The availability heuristic
12:46 Intertemporal discounting
13:44 The shocking extent to which people are biased
14:20 An example of the framing effect/anchor bias
19:15 Overconfidence - the most insidious of all biases
21:40 Cluster illusion - the Achille's Heel of Demand Planners
23:48 How to overcome our own biases
28:40 Don't add or use what cannot be measured
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To sign up for regular updates and the latest research, events, articles, podcasts and more from the Institute of Business Forecasting & Training, visit www.ibf.org
By IBF0 Eric Wilson CPF4.8
99 ratings
IBF On Demand sponsored by Arkieva, your one-plan S&OP software. Learn more about Arkieva's innovative approach to forecasting here: http://bit.ly/business-forecasting
This week I talk to Jonathan Karelse of North Find Management about how I am 100% perfect and other people are biased and wrong.
02:37 I'm not biased but you definitely are
06:00 Jonathan's research into identifying bias in Demand Planners
08:34 The Dunning Kreuger effects
10:11 The representative heuristic
11:11 The availability heuristic
12:46 Intertemporal discounting
13:44 The shocking extent to which people are biased
14:20 An example of the framing effect/anchor bias
19:15 Overconfidence - the most insidious of all biases
21:40 Cluster illusion - the Achille's Heel of Demand Planners
23:48 How to overcome our own biases
28:40 Don't add or use what cannot be measured
Show less
Support the show
To sign up for regular updates and the latest research, events, articles, podcasts and more from the Institute of Business Forecasting & Training, visit www.ibf.org

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