Everyone’s been told that bias is the enemy of good thinking. Over
200 cognitive biases catalogued on Wikipedia, and the message is clear:
your brain is broken, and if you could just think more rationally, you’d
make better decisions. But when researchers actually tested whether
knowledge of biases helped predict behaviour, the experts did worse than
random laypeople. Maybe the problem isn’t bias. Maybe the problem is
Further reading
The Bettermentarticle that inspired this
Confirmationbias is all there is — fundamental beliefs and belief-consistent
processing
Bias vs Bias —heuristics vs biases, and why the distinction matters
Stressand the Yerkes-Dodson Law — bias vs noise in the stress
response
Stress isGood (Lecture 1) — the stress lecture
TheAmygdala is Not the Fear Centre (Lecture 2) — the amygdala
lecture
Everythingis Ideology — why biases are adaptive
PopNeuroscience is Just a Fancy Way of Saying “Calm Down”
References
Daniel Kahneman, Thinking,Fast and Slow (2011)
List ofcognitive biases (Wikipedia) — the 200+ biases
Rational-actormodel (Wikipedia)
Milkman etal. (2021): Megastudy on behavioural nudges for vaccination
Oeberst& Imhoff (2023): Toward Parsimony in Bias Research — the
fundamental beliefs paper
RobertAxelrod’s iterated prisoner’s dilemma tournaments
Bias–variancetradeoff (Wikipedia)