During this episode of Biotalk, Geoff Meyerson, CEO of Locust Walk, unpacks our 2024 Q1 Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions Report. Each quarter, Locust Walk’s deal team compiles key statistics and trends showcasing the current state of global private and public capital markets, strategic partnerships, and M&A in the biopharma sector.  

In this episode, Geoff provides valuable insights into our report, focusing on critical areas such as:  

Biotech capital markets: Highlighting XBI’s recovery, strong market indicators, and increased PIPE activity since Q2 2023. 

Private biotech markets: Saw the second-best deal quarter since 2021, yet activity remains flat compared to 2021’s robust fundraising 

Strategic transaction activity: Observing big pharma’s large acquisitions, with US M&A lower than Q4 while EU firms showed strong activity. 

Market outlook and advice for the months ahead. 

We invite you to listen to our podcast and read our report and welcome the opportunity to discuss its contents with you. Subscribe or follow Biotalk on Apple Podcasts | Spotify.   

Timestamps:

0:36 Deal Context, Quarter Highlights and Key Takeaways, and Future Outlook

6:23 Our Advice for the Current Market

Transcription:

Welcome to Biotalk. My name is Geoff Meyerson, CEO and Co-founder of Locust Walk, and you are listening to Biotalk, our podcast for biotech deal makers. This episode of Biotalk is focused on Locust Walk’s 2024 First Quarter market conditions Report, in which we apply the latest data to analyze current activities in the biopharma deal landscape. Each quarter, Locust Walk’s deal team compiles key statistics and trends showcasing what is happening in the global private and public capital markets and strategic partnering and M&A activity.

Deal Context, Quarter Highlights and Key Takeaways, and Future Outlook

To provide some structure, I will first cover biotech capital markets, touching on both public and private market performance over the past year. I will then transition into strategic transaction activity, covering both M&A and licensing. Please note, the full report published on the Locust Walk website is over 60 slides, so while I will do my best to summarize, as always, I encourage you to check out the full report for additional detail. To download this report, please go to locustwalk.com and go to our “Insights” page.

Q1 of this year continued last quarter’s recovery of the XBI and saw a sharp upswing at the end of February on the heels of multiple positive data readouts. The XBI has since normalized but ended Q1 above prior 2023 highs. In support of this positive momentum, we saw several strong indicators of a potential recovery for the public biotech markets. Q1 saw an increase in follow-on offering’s volume and deal size (up $8.1B from $3.5B in Q4’23), and a meaningful increase in PIPE volume and size (up $2.6B from $1.7B in Q4’23). We’re seeing a trend of increasing PIPE activity that started in Q2 2023, reflecting companies’ preference to reduce financing risk by securing capital prior to data announcements, despite the cost of providing less favorable terms. For example, Avidity raised a $400M PIPE, a week before they announced positive data from their Phase 1/2 trial for their lead asset. IPO volume also doubled from Q4, which is positive, although there has been limited activity after the first half of Q1 and the companies going public largely remain limited to later-stage companies. I believe the IPO window is still relatively shut and the public market for early-stage companies will remain challenging, with the two preclinical IPOs, Metagenomi and Fractyl Health, struggling to perform already.

To a lesser degree, the private US biotech markets saw some recovery in Q1 with 15 rounds >$100M, the second-best quarter in aggregate deal value since 2021, and nearing the 2023 peak seen in Q3. Overall, activity is still relatively flat when compared to the robust fund...