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Black Boxes and Black Swans (Conference Hour 2)
Video at https://youtu.be/EjnUT5ByR7A
In this session of the 2020 Political Prediction Conference, from American Civics Exchange (amciv.com) and OldBull.TV:
A one-on-one discussion between host Flip Pidot and Rachel Bitecofer, Senior Fellow at the Niskanen Center (www.niskanencenter.org), with a disrupter's guide to better election forecasting.
Dr. Bitecofer explains why the prevailing theories of electoral modeling have got it all wrong and how her focus on hyper-polarization and turnout modeling enabled her to outperform the forecasting elites in 2018. Plus, an exclusive preview of her initial 2020 House forecast!
Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv.
Email us at [email protected].
Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com)
License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
View all episodes
By American Civics ExchangeVideo at https://youtu.be/EjnUT5ByR7A
In this session of the 2020 Political Prediction Conference, from American Civics Exchange (amciv.com) and OldBull.TV:
A one-on-one discussion between host Flip Pidot and Rachel Bitecofer, Senior Fellow at the Niskanen Center (www.niskanencenter.org), with a disrupter's guide to better election forecasting.
Dr. Bitecofer explains why the prevailing theories of electoral modeling have got it all wrong and how her focus on hyper-polarization and turnout modeling enabled her to outperform the forecasting elites in 2018. Plus, an exclusive preview of her initial 2020 House forecast!
Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv.
Email us at [email protected].
Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com)
License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.