"What's Up, Doc?"

Bleeding Edge Report: Twin-Lakes and White River Watershed COVID-19 Weekly Update 2


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Twin Lakes/White River Watershed Update:  Stone, Baxter, Independence, Sharp Fulton, Izard

Total population:  133,670        COVID cases:  648       COVID deaths:  7

Trends in Hospital Capacity:

Bed availability:  25-50%

ICU availability:  35%

Ventilator availability:  95%

Stone: 12,446

24 hours:  1 case  (1 death total)

14 days:  24/53

Trend:  Up 45% of our cases for 4 months in last 2 weeks

Deaths:  1 death, none last 3 weeks.

Observations:  Doing well, but need to keep our guard up


Baxter:  41,219

24 hours:  1 case

14 days:  17/61 

Trend:  Up 25% of cases for 4 months in last 2 weeks

Deaths:  0 deaths

Observations:  0 deaths 40,000 people 12,000 seniors is fantastic;  6 cases last 7 days, 11 prior week


Independence:  37,264

24 hours:  22 cases

14 days:    240/367 

Trend:  Major spike;  Up 65% of cases for 4 months in last 2 weeks

Deaths:  0 deaths, 0 total

Observations:  averaging over 20 cases a day for last week, up from 14 prior week.  No deaths is reassuring!

Izard:  13,559

24 hours:  0 

14 days: cases 17/44 total for 4 months, last 2 weeks.

Trend:  40% of total pandemic cases in last two weeks, nearly double current week over prior week.

Deaths:  1 total, no deaths in 2 months.

Observations:  significant increase over last 2 weeks, and as Dr. Gray has well stated on County COVID Facebook page, now is no time to let guard down, but quite the opposite/

Sharp:  17,043

24 hours:  2

14 days: cases 17/104 total for 4 months, last 2 weeks.

Trend:  15% of total pandemic cases in last two weeks, about half of previous week.  

Deaths:  5 total,  one death 4-6 weeks/ago, none since July 10

Observations:  primarily single outbreak in NH with 39 cases by May 15 one facility.  


Fulton:  12,139

24 hours:  2

14 days: cases 9/29 cases total for 4 months, last 2 weeks.

Trend:  30% of total pandemic cases in last two weeks, double last week over previous week.

Deaths:  0

Observations:  30% of cases last 2 weeks, but 20% of total cases since pandemic onset last 7 days

Overall, last 24 hours really good, last week has been significantly worse for cases, but not deaths.  No death in region in last month or so,   We have only lost seven people in our region, and it appears that the vast majority were nursing home cases in one county.  Six cases in region over last 24 hours;  We’re seeing a significant uptick in cases in the region as testing has increased 5-10 fold over last 2 months.  Our rates per 100,000 population is about 700 cases, with 648 cases out of our entire region of 133,670, with four hospitals.


2017 Arkansas Vital Statistics reports (consistent since 2000)

Annual death rate per 100,000 = 1,011 (death rate from COVID is less than 1/2 that)

Average total death rate for people in Arkansas is 1.01%. or about 1/100.

The death rate for COVID in Arkansas is about 0.0016% or about 1/100th of usual causes.

In our region, 450 people have died since the onset of COVID in our region, and only 7 have died from COVID.   Take heart, and live your lives, just do it responsibly, and think about the other fella.

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"What's Up, Doc?"By Eric G. Spann, M.D.

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